Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets — A-League
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Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets meet in the A-League 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Melbourne Victory have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Newcastle Jets have won 0% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 88%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Melbourne Victory and 1.21 for Newcastle Jets. The models give Melbourne Victory a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Newcastle Jets win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Melbourne Victory | Home | Away | Newcastle Jets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 88% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 33% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Melbourne Victory | Home | Away | Newcastle Jets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 67% | 63% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 25% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 33% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Melbourne Victory | Newcastle Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 50% |
| BTTS | 55% | 88% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 45% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 9% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Melbourne Victory | Newcastle Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 73% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 9% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 75% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 36% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Melbourne Victory | Newcastle Jets | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 86% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 40% | 86% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 86% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 71% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 14% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 14% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Melbourne Victory | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 57% |
Head to Head · 40 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 | |
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 | |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Melbourne Victory have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Newcastle Jets have failed to win in their last 3 matches.