SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg — Oberliga - Niederrhein
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SSVg Velbert and SF Baumberg meet in the Oberliga - Niederrhein 2026 season on 4 December 2026. SSVg Velbert have recorded 9 wins from 13 matches this season (69% win rate), averaging 2.69 goals scored and 2.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 92%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. SF Baumberg have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 2.08 goals scored and 2.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 85%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for SSVg Velbert and 1.93 for SF Baumberg. The models give SSVg Velbert a 47% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an SF Baumberg win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
SSVg Velbert—
SF Baumberg2º
Position
7º
2.40
PPG
1.60
80%
Win %
40%
2.80
Goals / game
2.10
1.70
Conceded / game
1.90
77%
BTTS %
69%
15%
Clean sheet %
15%
92%
Over 2.5 %
85%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
SSVg Velbert
Home (5)
—
SF Baumberg
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
2.00
80%
Win %
60%
2.80
Goals / game
2.00
1.80
Conceded / game
1.60
67%
BTTS %
60%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
83%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| SSVg Velbert | Home | Away | SF Baumberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 86% | 100% | 79% | 89% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 79% | 71% | 86% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 57% | 57% | 57% | 43% | 44% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 14% | 0% | 21% | 11% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| SSVg Velbert | Home | Away | SF Baumberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 86% | 86% | 86% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 43% | 57% | 50% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 29% | 14% | 36% | 44% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SSVg Velbert | SF Baumberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 93% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 64% | 43% |
| BTTS | 79% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 57% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 79% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SSVg Velbert | SF Baumberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 93% | 79% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 79% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 71% |
Recent Venue Form
SSVg Velbert (H)W
Holzheimer SG4–1
Holzheimer SG4–1W
SC St. Tönis3–2
SC St. Tönis3–2W
BW Dingden5–1
BW Dingden5–1W
Büderich2–1
Büderich2–1L
Schonnebeck3–5
Schonnebeck3–5W
Wuppertaler SV1–0
Wuppertaler SV1–0SF Baumberg (A)DBüderich0–0
Büderich0–0LWuppertaler SV0–4
Wuppertaler SV0–4W
Monheim2–1
Monheim2–1W
Solingen-Wald4–1
Solingen-Wald4–1W
Meerbusch4–2
Meerbusch4–2LBüderich1–3
Büderich1–3Head to Head · 7 matches
5
SSVg Velbert
71%
1
Draws
14%
1
SF Baumberg
14%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
57%
Over 3.5
4/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
01/06/25SSVg Velbert
SF Baumberg
0–1SSVg Velbert06/12/24SF Baumberg
SSVg Velbert
4–2SF Baumberg12/03/23SSVg Velbert
SF Baumberg
0–0SSVg Velbert09/09/22SF Baumberg
SSVg Velbert
2–0SF Baumberg16/04/22SSVg Velbert
SF Baumberg
4–0SSVg Velbert27/08/21SF Baumberg
SSVg Velbert
6–2SF Baumberg07/10/20SF Baumberg
SSVg Velbert
3–2SF Baumberg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schonnebeck | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 29 |
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Monheim | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | SC St. Tönis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Sonsbeck | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | SF Baumberg | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | BW Dingden | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Solingen-Wald | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 |  KFC Uerdingen 05 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +8 | 14 |
| 11 |  Germania Ratingen | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Wuppertaler SV | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Scherpenberg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Büderich | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 |  SW Essen | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 17 | Meerbusch | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | Holzheimer SG | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 4 |
Team Insights
SSVg Velbert- ●SSVg Velbert have won their last 7 matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●SSVg Velbert have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
SF Baumberg- ●SF Baumberg have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●SF Baumberg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●SF Baumberg have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●SF Baumberg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SF Baumberg have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SF Baumberg failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●SF Baumberg have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●SF Baumberg have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SSVg VelbertWHHolzheimer SG4–1
Holzheimer SG4–1WASolingen-Wald3–2
Solingen-Wald3–2WHSC St. Tönis3–2
SC St. Tönis3–2WAKFC Uerdingen 052–1
KFC Uerdingen 052–1WHBW Dingden5–1
BW Dingden5–1WAMeerbusch3–0
Meerbusch3–0–AViktoria Jüchen-Garz.08/11
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.08/11–HFortuna Düsseldorf II13/11
Fortuna Düsseldorf II13/11–AMonheim29/11
Monheim29/11SF BaumbergWHBW Dingden2–1
BW Dingden2–1DABüderich0–0
Büderich0–0DHSchonnebeck3–3
Schonnebeck3–3LAWuppertaler SV0–4
Wuppertaler SV0–4LHGermania Ratingen1–2
Germania Ratingen1–2WAMonheim2–1
Monheim2–1–ASC St. Tönis08/11
SC St. Tönis08/11–HHolzheimer SG15/11
Holzheimer SG15/11–AFortuna Düsseldorf II27/11
Fortuna Düsseldorf II27/11Top Scorers
SSVg VelbertB. Ametov2 ⚽
C. Mockschan2 ⚽
A. Golubytskij1 ⚽
R. Hilger1 ⚽
1 ⚽
SF Baumberg3 ⚽
S. Lo Castro2 ⚽
B. Sezer1 ⚽