Tolmin vs Adria — 3. SNL - West
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Tolmin and Adria meet in the 3. SNL - West 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Tolmin have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Adria have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 2.10 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Tolmin and 1.07 for Adria. The models give Tolmin a 60% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Adria win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Tolmin
AdriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Tolmin | Home | Away | Adria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 71% | 75% | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 43% | 75% | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 14% | 75% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 29% | 25% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Tolmin | Home | Away | Adria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 71% | 75% | 90% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 14% | 75% | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 29% | 25% | 10% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tolmin | Adria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 40% |
| BTTS | 45% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tolmin | Adria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 18% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Tolmin (H)
Šobec Lesce0–1
Svoboda2–0
Rudar Trbovlje5–1
Izola0–1
Škofja Loka2–2
IB 1975 Ljubljana1–0Adria (A)
Dob2–4IB 1975 Ljubljana1–2
Litija0–3
Zidgrad Idrija1–2Rudar Trbovlje1–3
Žiri1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
TolminAdriaAdriaTolmin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +44 | 30 |
| 2 | Dob | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +17 | 23 |
| 3 | Zidgrad Idrija | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 22 |
| 4 | Litija | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 18 |
| 5 |  Šencur | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Tolmin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Rudar Trbovlje | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -16 | 13 |
| 8 | Škofja Loka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | Adria | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Žiri | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | IB 1975 Ljubljana | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Šobec Lesce | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Vipava | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -27 | 7 |
| 14 | Svoboda | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Tolmin- ●Tolmin have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tolmin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
Adria- ●Adria have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Adria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Adria have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Adria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Adria have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Adria failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Adria have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Adria have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Adria's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Adria's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Adria's points have been earned at home.
- ●Adria have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TolminŠobec Lesce0–1Zidgrad Idrija0–2Svoboda2–0Rudar Trbovlje5–1Izola0–1Žiri4–2Litija28/10Adria31/10Vipava08/11AdriaDob2–4Vipava7–1IB 1975 Ljubljana1–2Litija0–3Šobec Lesce2–0Zidgrad Idrija1–2Šencur28/10Tolmin31/10Škofja Loka07/11Top Scorers
TolminAdria