FC Differdange 03 vs Progres Niederkorn — National Division
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FC Differdange 03 and Progres Niederkorn meet in the National Division 2026 season on 22 November 2026. FC Differdange 03 have recorded 12 wins from 16 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.56 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Progres Niederkorn have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for FC Differdange 03 and 1.18 for Progres Niederkorn. The models give FC Differdange 03 a 60% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Progres Niederkorn win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
FC Differdange 03—
Progres Niederkorn2º
Position
7º
2.70
PPG
1.73
90%
Win %
55%
3.00
Goals / game
1.45
0.80
Conceded / game
0.82
50%
BTTS %
42%
50%
Clean sheet %
32%
63%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
FC Differdange 03
Home (6)
—
Progres Niederkorn
Away (6)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
67%
3.17
Goals / game
1.67
0.17
Conceded / game
0.83
22%
BTTS %
40%
78%
Clean sheet %
40%
44%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| FC Differdange | Home | Away | Progres Niederkorn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 89% | 100% | 68% | 56% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 86% | 37% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 44% | 29% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 11% | 0% | 32% | 44% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Differdange | Home | Away | Progres Niederkorn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 22% | 86% | 68% | 78% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 43% | 42% | 44% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 43% | 21% | 33% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 78% | 14% | 32% | 22% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Differdange | Progres Niederkorn | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 21% |
| BTTS | 50% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Differdange | Progres Niederkorn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 69% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Differdange (H)W
Résidence Walferdange6–0
Résidence Walferdange6–0W
Swift Hesperange3–0
Swift Hesperange3–0W
Etzella Ettelbruck1–0
Etzella Ettelbruck1–0W
UN Kaerjeng 974–1
UN Kaerjeng 974–1W
Racing FC Union Luxembourg3–0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg3–0W
US Rumelange2–0
US Rumelange2–0Progres Niederkorn (A)LEtzella Ettelbruck0–2
Etzella Ettelbruck0–2W
US Hostert2–0
US Hostert2–0W
Kopstal 337–0
Kopstal 337–0W
Wiltz2–1
Wiltz2–1L
US Mondorf-les-bains1–2
US Mondorf-les-bains1–2W
Atert Bissen4–0
Atert Bissen4–0Head to Head · 31 matches
17
FC Differdange
55%
2
Draws
6%
12
Progres Niederkorn
39%
81%
Over 1.5
25/31
52%
Over 2.5
16/31
26%
Over 3.5
8/31
52%
BTTS
16/31
08/05/26FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
2–3FC Differdange 0330/11/25Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
1–1Progres Niederkorn01/03/25FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
0–2FC Differdange 0301/09/24Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
1–0Progres Niederkorn13/05/24FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
0–1FC Differdange 0324/04/24FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
2–0FC Differdange 0303/12/23Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
3–1Progres Niederkorn06/05/23FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
2–0FC Differdange 0326/04/23Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
3–2Progres Niederkorn04/12/22Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
2–3Progres Niederkorn22/05/22Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
2–0Progres Niederkorn18/08/21FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
3–0FC Differdange 0316/05/21Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
0–3Progres Niederkorn28/02/21FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
1–1FC Differdange 0319/10/19Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
1–5Progres Niederkorn30/03/19Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
2–0Progres Niederkorn15/09/18FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
2–0FC Differdange 0318/03/18Progres Niederkorn
FC Differdange 03
1–2Progres Niederkorn16/09/17FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
1–0FC Differdange 0311/02/17FC Differdange 03
Progres Niederkorn
1–2FC Differdange 03| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UNA Strassen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Differdange 03 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +22 | 27 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 24 |
| 4 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +12 | 21 |
| 5 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 6 | Atert Bissen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  F91 Dudelange | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 |  AS Jeunesse Esch | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Victoria Rosport | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 14 | US Rumelange | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 4 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -36 | 0 |
Team Insights
FC Differdange- ●FC Differdange 03 have won their last 9 matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Differdange 03 have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●63% of FC Differdange 03's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of FC Differdange 03's goals conceded were conceded away.
Progres Niederkorn- ●Progres Niederkorn have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Progres Niederkorn have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Progres Niederkorn have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Progres Niederkorn's goals have been scored away.
- ●63% of Progres Niederkorn's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
FC DifferdangeWAVictoria Rosport5–3
Victoria Rosport5–3WHRésidence Walferdange6–0
Résidence Walferdange6–0WHSwift Hesperange3–0
Swift Hesperange3–0WHEtzella Ettelbruck1–0
Etzella Ettelbruck1–0WHUN Kaerjeng 974–1
UN Kaerjeng 974–1WAUS Hostert2–0
US Hostert2–0–HF91 Dudelange25/10
F91 Dudelange25/10–AAS Jeunesse Esch31/10
AS Jeunesse Esch31/10–HProgres Niederkorn22/11
Progres Niederkorn22/11Progres NiederkornLAEtzella Ettelbruck0–2
Etzella Ettelbruck0–2LHUN Kaerjeng 971–2
UN Kaerjeng 971–2WAUS Hostert2–0
US Hostert2–0DHRacing FC Union Luxembourg0–0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg0–0WAWiltz2–1
Wiltz2–1WHUS Rumelange3–0
US Rumelange3–0–HSwift Hesperange31/10
Swift Hesperange31/10–AFC Differdange 0322/11
FC Differdange 0322/11–HVictoria Rosport29/11
Victoria Rosport29/11Top Scorers
FC DifferdangeL. Rauch4 ⚽
E. Benedict4 ⚽
A. Buch4 ⚽
C. Jean4 ⚽
Leandro Borges3 ⚽
S. Melhor3 ⚽
Progres NiederkornS. Hadji6 ⚽
I. Baradji3 ⚽
F. Hoxha2 ⚽
K. Corral1 ⚽
V. Peugnet1 ⚽
W. Amadi1 ⚽
Cards Given
FC DifferdangeBruno Reis1 🟨
Gustavo Vintecinco1 🟨
J. Bedouret1 🟨
J. P. Gomes Ricciulli1 🟨
Juan Bedouret1 🟨
Progres NiederkornC. Sacras2 🟨
K. Avdusinovic2 🟨