Merthyr Town vs Worksop Town — National League - North
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Merthyr Town and Worksop Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Merthyr Town have recorded 6 wins from 23 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Worksop Town have won 52% of their 23 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Merthyr Town and 1.30 for Worksop Town. The models give Merthyr Town a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Worksop Town win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Merthyr Town | Home | Away | Worksop Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 60% | 78% | 71% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 54% | 10% | 52% | 57% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 23% | 10% | 26% | 36% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 40% | 22% | 29% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Merthyr Town | Home | Away | Worksop Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 77% | 80% | 78% | 71% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 46% | 50% | 43% | 36% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 8% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 23% | 20% | 22% | 29% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Merthyr Town | Worksop Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 22% |
| BTTS | 65% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Merthyr Town | Worksop Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 29 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 26 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 23 | |
| 9 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 23 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 22 | |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 | |
| 12 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 | |
| 14 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 20 | |
| 15 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 | |
| 16 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 19 | |
| 17 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 | |
| 18 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 16 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 | |
| 20 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 | |
| 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 15 | |
| 22 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 | |
| 23 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 | |
| 24 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Merthyr Town have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Worksop Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Worksop Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Worksop Town have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Worksop Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worksop Town have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.