Marine vs Hednesford Town — National League - North
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Marine and Hednesford Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Marine have recorded 13 wins from 22 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Hednesford Town have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Marine and 1.02 for Hednesford Town. The models give Marine a 37% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Hednesford Town win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marine | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 77% | 89% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 62% | 44% | 44% | 70% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 15% | 11% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 23% | 11% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Marine | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 54% | 78% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 15% | 44% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 46% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marine | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 22% |
| BTTS | 45% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marine | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 29 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 26 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 23 | |
| 9 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 23 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 22 | |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 | |
| 12 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 | |
| 14 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 20 | |
| 15 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 | |
| 16 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 19 | |
| 17 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 | |
| 18 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 16 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 | |
| 20 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 | |
| 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 15 | |
| 22 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 | |
| 23 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 | |
| 24 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Marine have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Marine have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Marine have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Marine have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Marine failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Marine have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Marine failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Marine failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Marine have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Marine have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Marine's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Marine's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Hednesford Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●67% of Hednesford Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Hednesford Town have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.