Buxton vs Spennymoor Town — National League - North
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Buxton and Spennymoor Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Buxton have recorded 12 wins from 21 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Spennymoor Town have won 25% of their 20 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.22 for Buxton and 1.09 for Spennymoor Town. The models give Buxton a 63% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Spennymoor Town win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Buxton—
Spennymoor Town5º
Position
24º
1.73
PPG
0.71
53%
Win %
14%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.93
57%
BTTS %
75%
24%
Clean sheet %
10%
71%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
6.0
0.0
Avg shots
11.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
43.0%
Home vs Away
Buxton
Home (8)
—
Spennymoor Town
Away (7)
2.38
PPG
0.29
75%
Win %
0%
2.75
Goals / game
0.86
1.13
Conceded / game
2.29
54%
BTTS %
67%
38%
Clean sheet %
11%
69%
Over 2.5 %
89%
0.0
Avg corners
6.0
0.0
Avg shots
11.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
43.0%
Goals Scored
| Buxton | Home | Away | Spennymoor Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 92% | 63% | 85% | 91% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 62% | 38% | 30% | 36% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 31% | 25% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 8% | 38% | 15% | 9% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Buxton | Home | Away | Spennymoor Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 62% | 100% | 90% | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 38% | 63% | 55% | 36% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 8% | 25% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 38% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Buxton | Spennymoor Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 10% |
| BTTS | 57% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Buxton | Spennymoor Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Buxton (H)W
Marine4–2
Marine4–2W
Harborough Town3–0
Harborough Town3–0D
Worksop Town2–2
Worksop Town2–2L
South Shields0–2
South Shields0–2W
Ashton United1–0
Ashton United1–0W
Chester3–1
Chester3–1Spennymoor Town (A)L
Darlington 18830–3
Darlington 18830–3LHarborough Town1–3
Harborough Town1–3L
Brackley Town1–2
Brackley Town1–2D
Southport2–2
Southport2–2W
AFC Emley4–0
AFC Emley4–0L
Hereford1–2
Hereford1–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Buxton | Spennymoor Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Buxton
50%
2
Draws
25%
2
Spennymoor Town
25%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
31/01/26Spennymoor Town
Buxton
1–2Spennymoor Town13/12/25Buxton
Spennymoor Town
2–2Buxton11/03/25Spennymoor Town
Buxton
1–0Spennymoor Town30/11/24Buxton
Spennymoor Town
1–1Buxton16/12/23Buxton
Spennymoor Town
2–3Buxton23/09/23Spennymoor Town
Buxton
0–2Spennymoor Town01/04/23Spennymoor Town
Buxton
2–1Spennymoor Town08/10/22Buxton
Spennymoor Town
0–1Buxton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Shields | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 29 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Hereford | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 26 |
| 5 | Buxton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 7 |  Hednesford Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 8 |  Morecambe | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 9 | Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Spalding United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 | Worksop Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Hebburn Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 |  AFC Telford United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 |
| 16 | Brackley Town | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 16 |
| 19 |  Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 20 |  Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 |  Scarborough Athletic | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
Team Insights
Buxton- ●Buxton have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Buxton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Buxton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Buxton's goals have been scored at home.
Spennymoor Town- ●Spennymoor Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Spennymoor Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Spennymoor Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Spennymoor Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spennymoor Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spennymoor Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Spennymoor Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Spennymoor Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Spennymoor Town's points have been earned at home.
- ●Spennymoor Town have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BuxtonWHMarine4–2
Marine4–2WHHarborough Town3–0
Harborough Town3–0WAChorley3–2
Chorley3–2DHWorksop Town2–2
Worksop Town2–2LAKing's Lynn Town0–1
King's Lynn Town0–1LASouth Shields0–4
South Shields0–4–AScarborough Athletic07/11
Scarborough Athletic07/11–HHednesford Town21/11
Hednesford Town21/11–AAFC Telford United24/11
AFC Telford United24/11Spennymoor TownWHChorley2–0
Chorley2–0LHSouth Shields0–1
South Shields0–1LADarlington 18830–3
Darlington 18830–3LABrackley Town1–2
Brackley Town1–2DASouthport2–2
Southport2–2DHMacclesfield1–1
Macclesfield1–1–AKing's Lynn Town07/11
King's Lynn Town07/11–HChester17/11
Chester17/11–HHarborough Town21/11
Harborough Town21/11Top Scorers
BuxtonS. Tuntulwana11 ⚽
K. Burton4 ⚽
J. Johnston3 ⚽
D. Moses2 ⚽
F. Cousin-Dawson2 ⚽
A. Mee2 ⚽
Spennymoor TownG. Taylor4 ⚽
Danny Johnson3 ⚽
D. Johnson3 ⚽
R. Bennett3 ⚽
J. Jenkins2 ⚽
J. Mondal2 ⚽
Cards Given
BuxtonSpennymoor Town1 🟨