Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town — National League - North
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Merthyr Town and Bedford Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Merthyr Town have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Bedford Town have won 50% of their 22 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Merthyr Town and 1.24 for Bedford Town. The models give Merthyr Town a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Bedford Town win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Merthyr Town—
Bedford Town18º
Position
9º
1.15
PPG
1.58
23%
Win %
50%
1.15
Goals / game
1.33
1.23
Conceded / game
1.33
67%
BTTS %
55%
24%
Clean sheet %
32%
52%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
4.3
0.0
Avg shots
8.3
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.7
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Home vs Away
Merthyr Town
Home (7)
—
Bedford Town
Away (7)
1.29
PPG
1.29
29%
Win %
43%
1.43
Goals / game
1.00
1.43
Conceded / game
1.43
77%
BTTS %
60%
23%
Clean sheet %
10%
69%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
4.3
0.0
Avg shots
8.3
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.7
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Goals Scored
| Merthyr Town | Home | Away | Bedford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 63% | 77% | 83% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 54% | 0% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 23% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 38% | 23% | 17% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Merthyr Town | Home | Away | Bedford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 77% | 75% | 68% | 50% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 46% | 38% | 23% | 17% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 8% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 23% | 25% | 32% | 50% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Merthyr Town | Bedford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 9% |
| BTTS | 67% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Merthyr Town | Bedford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Merthyr Town (H)L
Morecambe1–3
Morecambe1–3D
King's Lynn Town1–1
King's Lynn Town1–1L
Marine1–2
Marine1–2D
Truro City1–1
Truro City1–1W
Macclesfield2–1
Macclesfield2–1D
Chorley1–1
Chorley1–1Bedford Town (A)W
Scarborough Athletic2–1
Scarborough Athletic2–1D
Cray Wanderers2–2
Cray Wanderers2–2L
Chester0–1
Chester0–1W
Wingate & Finchley3–1
Wingate & Finchley3–1L
Spalding United1–2
Spalding United1–2W
Worksop Town2–1
Worksop Town2–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Merthyr Town | Bedford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 8.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Merthyr Town
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Bedford Town
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
14/02/26Bedford Town
Merthyr Town
7–1Bedford Town08/11/25Merthyr Town
Bedford Town
3–4Merthyr Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 |  Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Merthyr Town- ●Merthyr Town have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Merthyr Town's goals have been scored at home.
Bedford Town- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bedford Town have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Merthyr TownLHMorecambe1–3
Morecambe1–3DHKing's Lynn Town1–1
King's Lynn Town1–1DADarlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1LHMarine1–2
Marine1–2DAScarborough Athletic0–0
Scarborough Athletic0–0WAChester1–0
Chester1–0–AOxford City27/10
Oxford City27/10–ARadcliffe31/10
Radcliffe31/10–HHebburn Town07/11
Hebburn Town07/11Bedford TownWAScarborough Athletic2–1
Scarborough Athletic2–1LAChester0–1
Chester0–1DHHereford1–1
Hereford1–1LASpalding United1–2
Spalding United1–2WAWorksop Town2–1
Worksop Town2–1WHRadcliffe1–0
Radcliffe1–0–HHednesford Town27/10
Hednesford Town27/10–HMacclesfield31/10
Macclesfield31/10–HChorley17/11
Chorley17/11Top Scorers
Merthyr TownS. Pearson4 ⚽
K. Simpson3 ⚽
E. Watts2 ⚽
J. Maddox2 ⚽
J. Foulston2 ⚽
B. Margetson2 ⚽
Bedford TownG. Moncur8 ⚽
5 ⚽
R. Evans3 ⚽
M. Gyasi2 ⚽
E. Nto2 ⚽
J. Payne2 ⚽
Cards Given
Merthyr TownA. Livermore2 🟨
J. Williams1 🟨
W. Spiers1 🟨
Bedford Town4 🟨