Chorley vs Hebburn Town — National League - North
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Chorley and Hebburn Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Chorley have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Hebburn Town have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Chorley and 1.38 for Hebburn Town. The models give Chorley a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Hebburn Town win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Chorley—
Hebburn Town13º
Position
10º
1.42
PPG
1.46
42%
Win %
38%
1.67
Goals / game
1.38
1.75
Conceded / game
1.77
62%
BTTS %
75%
14%
Clean sheet %
10%
62%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chorley
Home (7)
—
Hebburn Town
Away (6)
1.86
PPG
1.00
57%
Win %
17%
2.29
Goals / game
1.17
1.71
Conceded / game
2.17
82%
BTTS %
88%
9%
Clean sheet %
0%
82%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chorley | Home | Away | Hebburn Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 82% | 60% | 85% | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 55% | 20% | 55% | 58% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 9% | 10% | 25% | 33% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 18% | 40% | 15% | 17% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Chorley | Home | Away | Hebburn Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 91% | 80% | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 55% | 40% | 60% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 18% | 10% | 35% | 42% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 9% | 20% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chorley | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 40% |
| BTTS | 62% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chorley | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 81% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Chorley (H)L
Buxton2–3
Buxton2–3D
Worcester City1–1
Worcester City1–1W
AFC Telford United2–1
AFC Telford United2–1W
Spalding United2–1
Spalding United2–1W
Darlington 18835–2
Darlington 18835–2D
Brackley Town2–2
Brackley Town2–2Hebburn Town (A)DAFC Telford United2–2
AFC Telford United2–2DDarlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1L
Radcliffe1–5
Radcliffe1–5L
Macclesfield0–3
Macclesfield0–3WBuxton2–1
Buxton2–1DBrackley Town1–1
Brackley Town1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 |  Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 |  Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 |  Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 |  Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 | Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Chorley- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Chorley have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Chorley's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Chorley's points have been earned at home.
Hebburn Town- ●Hebburn Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Hebburn Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hebburn Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
ChorleyLHBuxton2–3
Buxton2–3WHAFC Telford United2–1
AFC Telford United2–1WHSpalding United2–1
Spalding United2–1LAKing's Lynn Town0–2
King's Lynn Town0–2WHDarlington 18835–2
Darlington 18835–2LAOxford City0–4
Oxford City0–4–ARadcliffe27/10
Radcliffe27/10–ASpennymoor Town31/10
Spennymoor Town31/10–HHereford07/11
Hereford07/11Hebburn TownDAAFC Telford United2–2
AFC Telford United2–2LHScarborough Athletic0–2
Scarborough Athletic0–2LHOxford City0–3
Oxford City0–3DADarlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1WHHednesford Town2–1
Hednesford Town2–1LARadcliffe1–5
Radcliffe1–5–HHarborough Town31/10
Harborough Town31/10–AMerthyr Town07/11
Merthyr Town07/11–ASpalding United17/11
Spalding United17/11Top Scorers
ChorleyM. Calveley5 ⚽
E. Taylor5 ⚽
J. Hazelhurst3 ⚽
A. Blakeman2 ⚽
C. M. Rowe2 ⚽
M. Wilson2 ⚽
Hebburn TownJ. Charles11 ⚽
L. Murray3 ⚽
E. Forbes3 ⚽
T. Allan3 ⚽
J. Donaldson3 ⚽
K. Foreman2 ⚽