AFC Telford United vs Buxton — National League - North
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AFC Telford United and Buxton meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 24 November 2026. AFC Telford United have recorded 4 wins from 18 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Buxton have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for AFC Telford United and 1.39 for Buxton. The models give AFC Telford United a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Buxton win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
AFC Telford UnitedBuxtonHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| AFC Telford | Home | Away | Buxton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 73% | 86% | 79% | 91% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 27% | 29% | 47% | 55% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 27% | 14% | 21% | 9% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Telford | Home | Away | Buxton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 82% | 71% | 79% | 64% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 61% | 55% | 71% | 47% | 36% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 27% | 14% | 16% | 9% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 18% | 29% | 21% | 36% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Telford | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 16% |
| BTTS | 61% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Telford | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 6% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Telford (H)
Hebburn Town2–2
Darlington 18832–1
King's Lynn Town0–5
Worksop Town2–2
Oxford City1–0
Bedford Town0–1Buxton (A)
Chorley3–2King's Lynn Town0–1
South Shields0–4
Morecambe0–4Oxford City3–2Bedford Town1–2Head to Head · 4 matches
AFC Telford UnitedBuxtonAFC Telford UnitedBuxton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 |  Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 |  Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 |  Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
AFC Telford- ●AFC Telford United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Buxton- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Buxton have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Buxton's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Buxton's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
AFC TelfordHebburn Town2–2Darlington 18832–1Chorley1–2King's Lynn Town0–5Harborough Town0–0Oxford City1–0Hereford27/10Southport31/10Spalding United07/11BuxtonChorley3–2Worksop Town2–2King's Lynn Town0–1South Shields0–4Chester3–1Brackley Town5–0Harborough Town27/10Marine31/10Scarborough Athletic07/11Top Scorers
AFC TelfordBuxton