Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton — National League - North
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Scarborough Athletic and Buxton meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Scarborough Athletic have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.37 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Buxton have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Scarborough Athletic and 1.10 for Buxton. The models give Scarborough Athletic a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Buxton win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Scarborough Athletic—
Buxton17º
Position
8º
1.15
PPG
1.54
31%
Win %
46%
1.46
Goals / game
1.77
1.38
Conceded / game
1.77
53%
BTTS %
58%
32%
Clean sheet %
21%
53%
Over 2.5 %
68%
8.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
45.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Scarborough Athletic
Home (6)
—
Buxton
Away (7)
1.17
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
29%
1.50
Goals / game
1.14
0.83
Conceded / game
2.29
33%
BTTS %
63%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
44%
Over 2.5 %
75%
8.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
45.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Scarborough Athletic | Home | Away | Buxton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 56% | 90% | 79% | 91% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 22% | 40% | 47% | 55% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 22% | 10% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 44% | 10% | 21% | 9% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Scarborough Athletic | Home | Away | Buxton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 67% | 70% | 79% | 64% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 33% | 60% | 47% | 36% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 0% | 30% | 16% | 9% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 33% | 30% | 21% | 36% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Scarborough Athletic | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 16% |
| BTTS | 53% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Scarborough Athletic | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 37% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Scarborough Athletic (H)L
Bedford Town1–2
Bedford Town1–2L
Macclesfield1–2
Macclesfield1–2D
Merthyr Town0–0
Merthyr Town0–0L
AFC Telford United0–1
AFC Telford United0–1W
Southport5–1
Southport5–1W
Spennymoor Town3–0
Spennymoor Town3–0Buxton (A)W
Chorley3–2
Chorley3–2L
King's Lynn Town0–1
King's Lynn Town0–1L
South Shields0–4
South Shields0–4L
Morecambe0–4
Morecambe0–4W
Oxford City3–2
Oxford City3–2LBedford Town1–2
Bedford Town1–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Scarborough Athletic | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
4
Scarborough Athletic
29%
2
Draws
14%
8
Buxton
57%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
29%
Over 3.5
4/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
28/04/26Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
4–2Scarborough Athletic11/04/26Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
2–0Scarborough Athletic02/09/25Buxton
Scarborough Athletic
2–1Buxton12/04/25Buxton
Scarborough Athletic
0–3Buxton05/11/24Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
2–0Scarborough Athletic02/03/24Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
0–0Scarborough Athletic21/10/23Buxton
Scarborough Athletic
1–0Buxton15/04/23Buxton
Scarborough Athletic
0–1Buxton15/11/22Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
0–1Scarborough Athletic11/01/22Buxton
Scarborough Athletic
2–1Buxton07/12/21Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
5–1Scarborough Athletic13/10/20Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
4–1Scarborough Athletic21/12/19Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
5–0Scarborough Athletic17/08/19Buxton
Scarborough Athletic
1–1Buxton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 |  Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Scarborough Athletic- ●Scarborough Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Scarborough Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Scarborough Athletic have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●72% of Scarborough Athletic's goals conceded were conceded away.
Buxton- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Buxton have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Buxton's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Buxton's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Scarborough AthleticLHBedford Town1–2
Bedford Town1–2WAHebburn Town2–0
Hebburn Town2–0LARadcliffe1–4
Radcliffe1–4DABrackley Town1–1
Brackley Town1–1DHMerthyr Town0–0
Merthyr Town0–0DAMacclesfield0–0
Macclesfield0–0–AMorecambe31/10
Morecambe31/10–HBuxton07/11
Buxton07/11–HMarine10/11
Marine10/11BuxtonWAChorley3–2
Chorley3–2DHWorksop Town2–2
Worksop Town2–2LAKing's Lynn Town0–1
King's Lynn Town0–1LASouth Shields0–4
South Shields0–4WHChester3–1
Chester3–1WHBrackley Town5–0
Brackley Town5–0–HHarborough Town27/10
Harborough Town27/10–HMarine31/10
Marine31/10–AScarborough Athletic07/11
Scarborough Athletic07/11Top Scorers
Scarborough AthleticR. Allan8 ⚽
M. Fadera5 ⚽
J. Hull4 ⚽
W. Thornton2 ⚽
Luke Hall1 ⚽
L. Hall1 ⚽
BuxtonS. Tuntulwana10 ⚽
K. Burton4 ⚽
D. Moses2 ⚽
J. Johnston2 ⚽
M. Woltman1 ⚽
T. Weston1 ⚽
Cards Given
Scarborough AthleticJ. Hull1 🟨
Buxton