Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town — National League - North
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Merthyr Town and Hebburn Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Merthyr Town have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Hebburn Town have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Merthyr Town and 1.32 for Hebburn Town. The models give Merthyr Town a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Hebburn Town win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Merthyr Town—
Hebburn Town18º
Position
10º
1.15
PPG
1.46
23%
Win %
38%
1.15
Goals / game
1.38
1.23
Conceded / game
1.77
67%
BTTS %
75%
24%
Clean sheet %
10%
52%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Merthyr Town
Home (7)
—
Hebburn Town
Away (6)
1.29
PPG
1.00
29%
Win %
17%
1.43
Goals / game
1.17
1.43
Conceded / game
2.17
77%
BTTS %
88%
23%
Clean sheet %
0%
69%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Merthyr Town | Home | Away | Hebburn Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 63% | 85% | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 54% | 0% | 55% | 58% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 23% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 38% | 15% | 17% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Merthyr Town | Home | Away | Hebburn Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 77% | 75% | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 46% | 38% | 60% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 8% | 0% | 35% | 42% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 23% | 25% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Merthyr Town | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 40% |
| BTTS | 67% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Merthyr Town | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Merthyr Town (H)L
Morecambe1–3
Morecambe1–3D
King's Lynn Town1–1
King's Lynn Town1–1L
Marine1–2
Marine1–2D
Truro City1–1
Truro City1–1W
Macclesfield2–1
Macclesfield2–1D
Chorley1–1
Chorley1–1Hebburn Town (A)D
AFC Telford United2–2
AFC Telford United2–2D
Darlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1L
Radcliffe1–5
Radcliffe1–5LMacclesfield0–3
Macclesfield0–3W
Buxton2–1
Buxton2–1D
Brackley Town1–1
Brackley Town1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 |  Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 |  Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 | Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Merthyr Town- ●Merthyr Town have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Merthyr Town's goals have been scored at home.
Hebburn Town- ●Hebburn Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Hebburn Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hebburn Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Merthyr TownLHMorecambe1–3
Morecambe1–3DHKing's Lynn Town1–1
King's Lynn Town1–1DADarlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1LHMarine1–2
Marine1–2DAScarborough Athletic0–0
Scarborough Athletic0–0WAChester1–0
Chester1–0–AOxford City27/10
Oxford City27/10–ARadcliffe31/10
Radcliffe31/10–HHebburn Town07/11
Hebburn Town07/11Hebburn TownDAAFC Telford United2–2
AFC Telford United2–2LHScarborough Athletic0–2
Scarborough Athletic0–2LHOxford City0–3
Oxford City0–3DADarlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1WHHednesford Town2–1
Hednesford Town2–1LARadcliffe1–5
Radcliffe1–5–HHarborough Town31/10
Harborough Town31/10–AMerthyr Town07/11
Merthyr Town07/11–ASpalding United17/11
Spalding United17/11Top Scorers
Merthyr TownS. Pearson4 ⚽
K. Simpson3 ⚽
E. Watts2 ⚽
J. Maddox2 ⚽
J. Foulston2 ⚽
B. Margetson2 ⚽
Hebburn TownJ. Charles11 ⚽
L. Murray3 ⚽
E. Forbes3 ⚽
T. Allan3 ⚽
J. Donaldson3 ⚽
K. Foreman2 ⚽
Cards Given
Merthyr TownA. Livermore2 🟨
J. Williams1 🟨
W. Spiers1 🟨
Hebburn Town