Southport vs AFC Telford United — National League - North
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Southport and AFC Telford United meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Southport have recorded 4 wins from 18 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. AFC Telford United have won 22% of their 18 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Southport and 1.20 for AFC Telford United. The models give Southport a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an AFC Telford United win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Southport—
AFC Telford United23º
Position
21º
0.77
PPG
1.00
15%
Win %
23%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.77
Conceded / game
1.54
44%
BTTS %
61%
17%
Clean sheet %
22%
39%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Southport
Home (6)
—
AFC Telford United
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
0.83
33%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
44%
BTTS %
71%
22%
Clean sheet %
29%
33%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Southport | Home | Away | AFC Telford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 56% | 44% | 78% | 73% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 44% | 22% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 44% | 56% | 22% | 27% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Southport | Home | Away | AFC Telford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 78% | 89% | 78% | 82% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 22% | 78% | 61% | 55% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 22% | 11% | 22% | 18% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Southport | AFC Telford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 11% |
| BTTS | 44% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Southport | AFC Telford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 6% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Southport (H)L
Radcliffe0–2
Radcliffe0–2D
Spennymoor Town2–2
Spennymoor Town2–2W
Morecambe2–1
Morecambe2–1L
Hereford0–1
Hereford0–1W
Bedford Town4–1
Bedford Town4–1D
Buxton1–1
Buxton1–1AFC Telford (A)L
Chorley1–2
Chorley1–2L
Worksop Town2–5
Worksop Town2–5D
Harborough Town0–0
Harborough Town0–0W
Scarborough Athletic1–0
Scarborough Athletic1–0LMorecambe1–2
Morecambe1–2D
Merthyr Town2–2
Merthyr Town2–2Head to Head · 14 matches
5
Southport
36%
6
Draws
43%
3
AFC Telford
21%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
29%
Over 3.5
4/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
25/04/26AFC Telford United
Southport
2–0AFC Telford United06/12/25Southport
AFC Telford United
2–2Southport28/01/23Southport
AFC Telford United
1–1Southport27/08/22AFC Telford United
Southport
0–0AFC Telford United02/05/22AFC Telford United
Southport
1–1AFC Telford United08/02/22Southport
AFC Telford United
0–3Southport07/11/20Southport
AFC Telford United
1–1Southport24/08/19AFC Telford United
Southport
0–1AFC Telford United06/04/15AFC Telford United
Southport
0–3AFC Telford United25/08/14Southport
AFC Telford United
3–3Southport05/01/13Southport
AFC Telford United
1–3Southport01/09/12AFC Telford United
Southport
0–3AFC Telford United10/03/12Southport
AFC Telford United
0–1Southport03/09/11AFC Telford United
Southport
3–2AFC Telford United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Southport- ●Southport have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Southport failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Southport failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Southport failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Southport have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Southport's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Southport's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Southport's points have been earned at home.
AFC Telford- ●AFC Telford United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
SouthportDAKing's Lynn Town0–0
King's Lynn Town0–0LHRadcliffe0–2
Radcliffe0–2LAHarborough Town0–1
Harborough Town0–1DHSpennymoor Town2–2
Spennymoor Town2–2LAWorksop Town0–2
Worksop Town0–2WHMorecambe2–1
Morecambe2–1–HMacclesfield27/10
Macclesfield27/10–HAFC Telford United31/10
AFC Telford United31/10–ASouth Shields07/11
South Shields07/11AFC TelfordDHHebburn Town2–2
Hebburn Town2–2WHDarlington 18832–1
Darlington 18832–1LAChorley1–2
Chorley1–2LHKing's Lynn Town0–5
King's Lynn Town0–5DAHarborough Town0–0
Harborough Town0–0WHOxford City1–0
Oxford City1–0–AHereford27/10
Hereford27/10–ASouthport31/10
Southport31/10–HSpalding United07/11
Spalding United07/11Top Scorers
SouthportD. Ogwuru3 ⚽
L. Burgess3 ⚽
A. Moseley2 ⚽
M. McKenzie2 ⚽
T. Lavelle2 ⚽
J. Slew1 ⚽
AFC TelfordM. Stenson4 ⚽
C. Williams2 ⚽
L. Moult2 ⚽
R. Walker2 ⚽
J. Meddows1 ⚽
R. Owen1 ⚽
Cards Given
SouthportD. Lloyd1 🟨
H. Perritt1 🟨
L. Burgess1 🟨
AFC Telford