Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town — National League - North
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Radcliffe and Merthyr Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Radcliffe have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Merthyr Town have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Radcliffe and 1.22 for Merthyr Town. The models give Radcliffe a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Merthyr Town win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Radcliffe—
Merthyr Town19º
Position
18º
1.15
PPG
1.15
38%
Win %
23%
1.23
Goals / game
1.15
1.62
Conceded / game
1.23
37%
BTTS %
67%
26%
Clean sheet %
24%
47%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Radcliffe
Home (6)
—
Merthyr Town
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
17%
1.83
Goals / game
0.83
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Radcliffe | Home | Away | Merthyr Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 38% | 64% | 86% | 100% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 38% | 18% | 33% | 54% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 23% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 63% | 36% | 14% | 0% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Radcliffe | Home | Away | Merthyr Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 75% | 73% | 76% | 77% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 25% | 55% | 43% | 46% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 13% | 36% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 25% | 27% | 24% | 23% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Radcliffe | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 5% |
| BTTS | 37% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Radcliffe | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Radcliffe (H)W
Scarborough Athletic4–1
Scarborough Athletic4–1L
Oxford City0–3
Oxford City0–3W
Hebburn Town5–1
Hebburn Town5–1L
Darlington 18830–1
Darlington 18830–1W
Morecambe2–1
Morecambe2–1L
Spalding United0–2
Spalding United0–2Merthyr Town (A)DDarlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1L
Truro City0–2
Truro City0–2DScarborough Athletic0–0
Scarborough Athletic0–0W
Chester1–0
Chester1–0L
Buxton1–2
Buxton1–2D
South Shields1–1
South Shields1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Radcliffe
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Merthyr Town
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
07/03/26Merthyr Town
Radcliffe
1–3Merthyr Town20/09/25Radcliffe
Merthyr Town
0–5Radcliffe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 |  Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Radcliffe- ●Radcliffe have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Radcliffe have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Radcliffe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Radcliffe have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Radcliffe have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Radcliffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Radcliffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Radcliffe have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Radcliffe's goals have been scored at home.
Merthyr Town- ●Merthyr Town have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Merthyr Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
RadcliffeWABrackley Town1–0
Brackley Town1–0WASouthport2–0
Southport2–0WHScarborough Athletic4–1
Scarborough Athletic4–1LAHednesford Town1–4
Hednesford Town1–4LHOxford City0–3
Oxford City0–3WHHebburn Town5–1
Hebburn Town5–1–HChorley27/10
Chorley27/10–HMerthyr Town31/10
Merthyr Town31/10–AHarborough Town07/11
Harborough Town07/11Merthyr TownLHMorecambe1–3
Morecambe1–3DHKing's Lynn Town1–1
King's Lynn Town1–1DADarlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1LHMarine1–2
Marine1–2DAScarborough Athletic0–0
Scarborough Athletic0–0WAChester1–0
Chester1–0–AOxford City27/10
Oxford City27/10–ARadcliffe31/10
Radcliffe31/10–HHebburn Town07/11
Hebburn Town07/11Top Scorers
RadcliffeT. James5 ⚽
J. Pritchard4 ⚽
C. Raglan2 ⚽
R. Clegg2 ⚽
F. McAllister2 ⚽
J. Hulme1 ⚽
Merthyr TownS. Pearson4 ⚽
K. Simpson3 ⚽
E. Watts2 ⚽
J. Maddox2 ⚽
J. Foulston2 ⚽
B. Margetson2 ⚽
Cards Given
RadcliffeMerthyr TownA. Livermore2 🟨
J. Williams1 🟨
W. Spiers1 🟨