Chester vs Hednesford Town — National League - North
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Chester and Hednesford Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Chester have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Hednesford Town have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Chester and 0.98 for Hednesford Town. The models give Chester a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Hednesford Town win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Chester | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 50% | 92% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 70% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 13% | 8% | 25% | 30% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 50% | 8% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Chester | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 62% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 31% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 23% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 38% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chester | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 25% |
| BTTS | 38% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chester | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 | |
| 9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 | |
| 13 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 | |
| 15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 | |
| 17 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 19 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 | |
| 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 | |
| 22 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 | |
| 24 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Chester have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chester have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chester have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chester have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chester failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chester have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Chester's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Hednesford Town have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Hednesford Town's goals have been scored at home.