Radcliffe vs Chorley — National League - North
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Radcliffe and Chorley meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Radcliffe have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Chorley have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Radcliffe and 1.21 for Chorley. The models give Radcliffe a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chorley win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Radcliffe—
Chorley19º
Position
13º
1.15
PPG
1.42
38%
Win %
42%
1.23
Goals / game
1.67
1.62
Conceded / game
1.75
37%
BTTS %
62%
26%
Clean sheet %
14%
47%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Radcliffe
Home (6)
—
Chorley
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
0.80
50%
Win %
20%
1.83
Goals / game
0.80
1.50
Conceded / game
1.80
38%
BTTS %
40%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Radcliffe | Home | Away | Chorley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 38% | 64% | 71% | 82% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 38% | 18% | 38% | 55% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 63% | 36% | 29% | 18% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Radcliffe | Home | Away | Chorley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 75% | 73% | 86% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 25% | 55% | 48% | 55% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 13% | 36% | 14% | 18% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 25% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Radcliffe | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 14% |
| BTTS | 37% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Radcliffe | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 81% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Radcliffe (H)W
Scarborough Athletic4–1
Scarborough Athletic4–1L
Oxford City0–3
Oxford City0–3W
Hebburn Town5–1
Hebburn Town5–1L
Darlington 18830–1
Darlington 18830–1W
Morecambe2–1
Morecambe2–1L
Spalding United0–2
Spalding United0–2Chorley (A)L
Worcester City0–1
Worcester City0–1W
Barton Town Old Boys4–1
Barton Town Old Boys4–1W
Rylands1–0
Rylands1–0L
King's Lynn Town0–2
King's Lynn Town0–2LOxford City0–4
Oxford City0–4D
Merthyr Town1–1
Merthyr Town1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Radcliffe
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Chorley
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
14/02/26Radcliffe
Chorley
0–1Radcliffe08/11/25Chorley
Radcliffe
2–2Chorley21/04/25Radcliffe
Chorley
5–0Radcliffe18/02/25Chorley
Radcliffe
2–0Chorley| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 |  Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Radcliffe- ●Radcliffe have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Radcliffe have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Radcliffe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Radcliffe have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Radcliffe have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Radcliffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Radcliffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Radcliffe have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Radcliffe's goals have been scored at home.
Chorley- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Chorley have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Chorley's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Chorley's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
RadcliffeWABrackley Town1–0
Brackley Town1–0WASouthport2–0
Southport2–0WHScarborough Athletic4–1
Scarborough Athletic4–1LAHednesford Town1–4
Hednesford Town1–4LHOxford City0–3
Oxford City0–3WHHebburn Town5–1
Hebburn Town5–1–HChorley27/10
Chorley27/10–HMerthyr Town31/10
Merthyr Town31/10–AHarborough Town07/11
Harborough Town07/11ChorleyLHBuxton2–3
Buxton2–3WHAFC Telford United2–1
AFC Telford United2–1WHSpalding United2–1
Spalding United2–1LAKing's Lynn Town0–2
King's Lynn Town0–2WHDarlington 18835–2
Darlington 18835–2LAOxford City0–4
Oxford City0–4–ARadcliffe27/10
Radcliffe27/10–ASpennymoor Town31/10
Spennymoor Town31/10–HHereford07/11
Hereford07/11Top Scorers
RadcliffeT. James5 ⚽
J. Pritchard4 ⚽
C. Raglan2 ⚽
R. Clegg2 ⚽
F. McAllister2 ⚽
J. Hulme1 ⚽
ChorleyM. Calveley5 ⚽
E. Taylor5 ⚽
J. Hazelhurst3 ⚽
A. Blakeman2 ⚽
C. M. Rowe2 ⚽
M. Wilson2 ⚽