MatchPulse

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town — National League - North

← Back
England · National League - North · National League North - 14
Oxford City
Oxford City
2º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 3d 5h
vs
–
–
Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town
18º · 1.15 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 3d 5h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Oxford City and Merthyr Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Oxford City have recorded 11 wins from 18 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Merthyr Town have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 24%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Oxford City and 1.05 for Merthyr Town. The models give Oxford City a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Merthyr Town win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Oxford City
—
Merthyr Town
2º
Position
18º
2.00
PPG
1.15
58%
Win %
23%
1.83
Goals / game
1.15
0.67
Conceded / game
1.23
44%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
24%
50%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Oxford City
Home (5)
—
Merthyr Town
Away (6)
1.60
PPG
1.00
40%
Win %
17%
1.80
Goals / game
0.83
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
63%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
25%
63%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Oxford CityHomeAwayMerthyr TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored94%100%90%86%100%63%
Over 1.5 Scored44%50%40%33%54%0%
Over 2.5 Scored33%38%30%14%23%0%
Failed To Score6%0%10%14%0%38%

Goals Conceded

Oxford CityHomeAwayMerthyr TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded50%63%40%76%77%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded17%25%10%43%46%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%13%0%5%8%0%
Clean Sheets50%38%60%24%23%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Oxford CityMerthyr Town
Over 0.5100%95%
Over 1.572%86%
Over 2.550%52%
Over 3.528%19%
Over 4.517%5%
BTTS44%67%
BTTS & Win11%10%
BTTS & Draw17%33%
BTTS & Over 2.528%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.522%10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Oxford CityMerthyr Town
Win 1st Half44%33%
Draw 1st Half44%43%
Loss 1st Half11%24%
Scored 1st Half50%52%
Conceded 1st Half28%38%
Win 2nd Half61%24%
Draw 2nd Half28%38%
Loss 2nd Half11%38%
Scored 2nd Half78%57%
Conceded 2nd Half33%67%
Over 0.5 HT61%71%
Over 1.5 HT39%29%

Recent Venue Form

Oxford City (H)
WEnfield Town6–1
DMorecambe1–1
WChorley4–0
LBuxton2–3
DHarborough Town1–1
WBedford Town1–0
Merthyr Town (A)
DDarlington 18831–1
LTruro City0–2
DScarborough Athletic0–0
WChester1–0
LBuxton1–2
DSouth Shields1–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
Oxford City
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Merthyr Town
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
03/04/26
Merthyr Town
1–1
Oxford City
26/12/25
Oxford City
1–3
Merthyr Town
National League - North
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Hereford12822+1726
2Oxford City12732+1424
3Macclesfield12732+724
4South Shields12723+323
5King's Lynn Town13634+621
6Hednesford Town13634+421
7Chester12624+320
8Buxton13625020
9Bedford Town12615019
10Hebburn Town13544-519
11Morecambe12525+617
12Spalding United12525+317
13Chorley12525-117
14Worksop Town13526-517
15Marine12516+116
16Harborough Town12444-116
17Scarborough Athletic13436+115
18Merthyr Town13364-115
19Radcliffe13508-515
20Brackley Town13436-915
21AFC Telford United13346-713
22Darlington 188313328-711
23Southport13247-1010
24Spennymoor Town12147-147

Team Insights

Oxford City
  • ●Oxford City have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Oxford City have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Oxford City have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Oxford City have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Oxford City have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Oxford City have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●67% of Oxford City's points have been earned away.
Merthyr Town
  • ●Merthyr Town have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Merthyr Town's goals have been scored at home.
Oxford CityOxford City
DAMarine15º1–1
WATorquay1–0
WAHebburn Town10º3–0
WHEnfield Town6–1
DHMorecambe11º1–1
WADorchester Town2–0
WARadcliffe19º3–0
LAAFC Telford United21º0–1
WHChorley13º4–0
WAWorksop Town14º1–0
Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
LHMorecambe11º1–3
DHKing's Lynn Town5º1–1
DADarlington 188322º1–1
LHMarine15º1–2
LATruro City0–2
DHTruro City1–1
DAScarborough Athletic17º0–0
WAChester7º1–0
WHMacclesfield3º2–1
LABuxton8º1–2

Season Schedule

Oxford City
DAMarine1–1
WAHebburn Town3–0
DHMorecambe1–1
WARadcliffe3–0
LAAFC Telford United0–1
WHChorley4–0
–HMerthyr Town27/10
–HSouth Shields31/10
–ADarlington 188307/11
Merthyr Town
LHMorecambe1–3
DHKing's Lynn Town1–1
DADarlington 18831–1
LHMarine1–2
DAScarborough Athletic0–0
WAChester1–0
–AOxford City27/10
–ARadcliffe31/10
–HHebburn Town07/11

Top Scorers

Oxford City
T. Marsh9 ⚽
S. Pollock9 ⚽
E. Brown4 ⚽
B. Bateman3 ⚽
L. Francillette3 ⚽
Z. McEachran2 ⚽
Merthyr Town
S. Pearson4 ⚽
K. Simpson3 ⚽
E. Watts2 ⚽
J. Maddox2 ⚽
J. Foulston2 ⚽
B. Margetson2 ⚽

Cards Given

Oxford City
T. Marsh2 🟨
Merthyr Town
A. Livermore2 🟨
J. Williams1 🟨
W. Spiers1 🟨