Hereford vs AFC Telford United — National League - North
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Hereford and AFC Telford United meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Hereford have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. AFC Telford United have won 22% of their 18 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Hereford and 1.00 for AFC Telford United. The models give Hereford a 56% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an AFC Telford United win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
HerefordAFC Telford UnitedHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hereford | Home | Away | AFC Telford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 75% | 90% | 78% | 73% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 38% | 40% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 25% | 10% | 22% | 27% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Hereford | Home | Away | AFC Telford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 63% | 60% | 78% | 82% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 13% | 30% | 61% | 55% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 13% | 10% | 22% | 27% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 38% | 40% | 22% | 18% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hereford | AFC Telford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 44% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 28% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hereford | AFC Telford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 6% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Hereford (H)
Hednesford Town0–1
South Shields6–0
Spennymoor Town2–1
Chester1–1
Radcliffe3–0
Marine1–0AFC Telford (A)
Chorley1–2
Worksop Town2–5
Harborough Town0–0
Scarborough Athletic1–0
Morecambe1–2
Merthyr Town2–2Head to Head · 8 matches
HerefordAFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford UnitedHerefordAFC Telford UnitedHerefordAFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 |  Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Hereford- ●Hereford have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hereford have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hereford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hereford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hereford have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hereford have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
AFC Telford- ●AFC Telford United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
HerefordMacclesfield2–1Hednesford Town0–1Bedford Town1–1South Shields6–0Harborough Town3–0Spennymoor Town2–1AFC Telford United27/10King's Lynn Town31/10Chorley07/11AFC TelfordHebburn Town2–2Darlington 18832–1Chorley1–2King's Lynn Town0–5Harborough Town0–0Oxford City1–0Hereford27/10Southport31/10Spalding United07/11Top Scorers
HerefordAFC TelfordCards Given
HerefordAFC Telford