Chester vs Marine — National League - North
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Chester and Marine meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Chester have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Marine have won 65% of their 20 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Chester and 1.06 for Marine. The models give Chester a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Marine win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Chester—
Marine7º
Position
15º
1.67
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
42%
1.25
Goals / game
1.17
1.00
Conceded / game
1.08
38%
BTTS %
40%
43%
Clean sheet %
40%
33%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chester
Home (6)
—
Marine
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.20
67%
Win %
40%
1.33
Goals / game
1.60
0.50
Conceded / game
1.40
13%
BTTS %
57%
50%
Clean sheet %
29%
13%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chester | Home | Away | Marine | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 50% | 92% | 80% | 77% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 38% | 55% | 62% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 50% | 8% | 20% | 23% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Chester | Home | Away | Marine | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 62% | 60% | 54% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 31% | 20% | 15% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 38% | 40% | 46% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chester | Marine | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chester | Marine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Chester (H)W
Bedford Town1–0
Bedford Town1–0W
Worksop Town4–1
Worksop Town4–1L
Merthyr Town0–1
Merthyr Town0–1L
Morecambe0–1
Morecambe0–1W
Spalding United1–0
Spalding United1–0W
King's Lynn Town2–0
King's Lynn Town2–0Marine (A)W
Hartlepool2–0
Hartlepool2–0WMerthyr Town2–1
Merthyr Town2–1L
South Shields1–2
South Shields1–2L
Harborough Town1–2
Harborough Town1–2WKing's Lynn Town4–1
King's Lynn Town4–1L
Hereford0–1
Hereford0–1Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Chester
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Marine
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
27/01/26Chester
Marine
2–1Chester04/11/25Marine
Chester
1–1Marine21/04/25Marine
Chester
2–1Marine26/12/24Chester
Marine
2–3Chester24/10/20Marine
Chester
0–1Marine05/09/20Chester
Marine
0–4Chester| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 |  Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 |  Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Chester- ●Chester have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chester have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chester have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chester have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chester failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chester have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Chester's goals conceded were conceded away.
Marine- ●Marine have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Marine have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Marine have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Marine failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Marine have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Marine failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Marine failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Marine have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ChesterLASouth Shields1–3
South Shields1–3WHBedford Town1–0
Bedford Town1–0WHWorksop Town4–1
Worksop Town4–1LABuxton1–3
Buxton1–3LHMerthyr Town0–1
Merthyr Town0–1DAHebburn Town1–1
Hebburn Town1–1–HMarine27/10
Marine27/10–HHednesford Town31/10
Hednesford Town31/10–ABrackley Town07/11
Brackley Town07/11MarineDHOxford City1–1
Oxford City1–1WHSpalding United1–0
Spalding United1–0WAMerthyr Town2–1
Merthyr Town2–1WHDarlington 18832–1
Darlington 18832–1LASouth Shields1–2
South Shields1–2LHWorksop Town0–1
Worksop Town0–1–AChester27/10
Chester27/10–ABuxton31/10
Buxton31/10–AScarborough Athletic10/11
Scarborough Athletic10/11Top Scorers
ChesterB. Waters6 ⚽
M. Campbell3 ⚽
N. Woodthorpe2 ⚽
J. Abreu1 ⚽
K. Moore1 ⚽
M. Bogle-Campbell1 ⚽
MarineB. Darby3 ⚽
G. Newell3 ⚽
D. Drysdale3 ⚽
F. Sinclair-Smith3 ⚽
C. Jolley2 ⚽
J. Doyle2 ⚽
Cards Given
ChesterMarineI. Abankwah2 🟨