Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town — National League - North
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Bedford Town and Hednesford Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Bedford Town have recorded 11 wins from 22 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Hednesford Town have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Bedford Town and 1.17 for Hednesford Town. The models give Bedford Town a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Hednesford Town win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Bedford Town—
Hednesford Town9º
Position
6º
1.58
PPG
1.62
50%
Win %
46%
1.33
Goals / game
1.77
1.33
Conceded / game
1.46
55%
BTTS %
63%
32%
Clean sheet %
19%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.3
Avg corners
0.0
8.3
Avg shots
0.0
2.7
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
44.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bedford Town
Home (5)
—
Hednesford Town
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.33
60%
Win %
33%
1.80
Goals / game
1.17
1.20
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
17%
42%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.3
Avg corners
0.0
8.3
Avg shots
0.0
2.7
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
44.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bedford Town | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 83% | 70% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 70% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 8% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 17% | 30% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Bedford Town | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 50% | 90% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 17% | 30% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 50% | 10% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bedford Town | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 25% |
| BTTS | 55% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bedford Town | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Bedford Town (H)D
Cray Wanderers0–0
Cray Wanderers0–0D
Wingate & Finchley2–2
Wingate & Finchley2–2D
Hereford1–1
Hereford1–1W
King's Lynn Town2–1
King's Lynn Town2–1W
Radcliffe1–0
Radcliffe1–0W
Spennymoor Town3–1
Spennymoor Town3–1Hednesford Town (A)WHereford1–0
Hereford1–0L
Hebburn Town1–2
Hebburn Town1–2WKing's Lynn Town3–2
King's Lynn Town3–2DSpennymoor Town1–1
Spennymoor Town1–1D
AFC Telford United1–1
AFC Telford United1–1L
Merthyr Town0–2
Merthyr Town0–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bedford Town | Hednesford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.7 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Bedford Town
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Hednesford Town
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
07/01/23Hednesford Town
Bedford Town
1–3Hednesford Town27/08/22Bedford Town
Hednesford Town
1–2Bedford Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 |  Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 |  Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Bedford Town- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bedford Town have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Hednesford Town- ●Hednesford Town have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Hednesford Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Bedford TownWAScarborough Athletic2–1
Scarborough Athletic2–1LAChester0–1
Chester0–1DHHereford1–1
Hereford1–1LASpalding United1–2
Spalding United1–2WAWorksop Town2–1
Worksop Town2–1WHRadcliffe1–0
Radcliffe1–0–HHednesford Town27/10
Hednesford Town27/10–HMacclesfield31/10
Macclesfield31/10–HChorley17/11
Chorley17/11Hednesford TownWHSpalding United2–0
Spalding United2–0WHBrackley Town3–2
Brackley Town3–2WAHereford1–0
Hereford1–0WHRadcliffe4–1
Radcliffe4–1LAHebburn Town1–2
Hebburn Town1–2WAKing's Lynn Town3–2
King's Lynn Town3–2–ABedford Town27/10
Bedford Town27/10–AChester31/10
Chester31/10–HMorecambe07/11
Morecambe07/11Top Scorers
Bedford TownG. Moncur8 ⚽
5 ⚽
R. Evans3 ⚽
M. Gyasi2 ⚽
E. Nto2 ⚽
J. Payne2 ⚽
Hednesford TownJ. Cooke5 ⚽
A. Rose4 ⚽
A. Jarvis2 ⚽
D. Mottley-Henry2 ⚽
G. Ward2 ⚽
O. Sterling-James2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bedford Town4 🟨
Hednesford TownD. Gorman1 🟨
S. Sharples-Ahmed1 🟨