Morecambe vs Hereford — National League - North
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Morecambe and Hereford meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Morecambe have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Hereford have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Morecambe and 1.12 for Hereford. The models give Morecambe a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Hereford win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Morecambe—
Hereford8º
Position
4º
1.64
PPG
1.86
50%
Win %
57%
1.50
Goals / game
1.71
0.86
Conceded / game
0.79
45%
BTTS %
40%
40%
Clean sheet %
35%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.0
Avg corners
0.0
15.0
Avg shots
0.0
10.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
63.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Morecambe
Home (7)
—
Hereford
Away (6)
2.29
PPG
2.17
71%
Win %
67%
1.86
Goals / game
1.83
0.43
Conceded / game
0.67
27%
BTTS %
50%
55%
Clean sheet %
40%
36%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.0
Avg corners
0.0
15.0
Avg shots
0.0
10.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
63.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Morecambe | Home | Away | Hereford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 82% | 89% | 75% | 60% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 55% | 22% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 27% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 18% | 11% | 25% | 40% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Morecambe | Home | Away | Hereford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 45% | 78% | 65% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 55% | 22% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Morecambe | Hereford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 45% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 30% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Morecambe | Hereford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 45% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Morecambe (H)W
Scarborough Athletic2–0
Scarborough Athletic2–0W
Darlington 18831–0
Darlington 18831–0WDarlington 18833–0
Darlington 18833–0W
Southport2–0
Southport2–0W
Brackley Town3–0
Brackley Town3–0W
Buxton4–0
Buxton4–0Hereford (A)W
Macclesfield2–1
Macclesfield2–1D
Bedford Town1–1
Bedford Town1–1L
Stafford Rangers2–3
Stafford Rangers2–3W
Harborough Town3–0
Harborough Town3–0WSouthport1–0
Southport1–0W
Worksop Town3–0
Worksop Town3–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Morecambe | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 29 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Hereford | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 26 |
| 5 | Buxton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 7 |  Hednesford Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 8 | Morecambe | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 9 |  Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Spalding United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 | Worksop Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Hebburn Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 |  AFC Telford United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 |
| 16 | Brackley Town | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 |  Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 16 |
| 19 |  Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 20 |  Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Scarborough Athletic | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
Team Insights
Morecambe- ●Morecambe have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Morecambe have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Morecambe have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Morecambe failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Morecambe's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Morecambe's goals conceded were conceded away.
Hereford- ●Hereford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Hereford have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hereford have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hereford have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hereford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hereford have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hereford have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hereford have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MorecambeWHScarborough Athletic2–0
Scarborough Athletic2–0WHDarlington 18831–0
Darlington 18831–0WAMerthyr Town3–1
Merthyr Town3–1LAWorksop Town1–2
Worksop Town1–2DAOxford City1–1
Oxford City1–1WHBrackley Town3–0
Brackley Town3–0–AHednesford Town07/11
Hednesford Town07/11–HHereford10/11
Hereford10/11–HKing's Lynn Town21/11
King's Lynn Town21/11HerefordLHKing's Lynn Town0–3
King's Lynn Town0–3LHAFC Telford United0–1
AFC Telford United0–1WAMacclesfield2–1
Macclesfield2–1LHHednesford Town0–1
Hednesford Town0–1DABedford Town1–1
Bedford Town1–1WHSouth Shields6–0
South Shields6–0–AChorley07/11
Chorley07/11–AMorecambe10/11
Morecambe10/11–HDarlington 188321/11
Darlington 188321/11Top Scorers
MorecambeM. Daly5 ⚽
P. Lewis4 ⚽
I. Buckley4 ⚽
E. Newby4 ⚽
J. Garner4 ⚽
T. Collis3 ⚽
HerefordH. Iwunze9 ⚽
B. Phillips6 ⚽
A. Skinner4 ⚽
D. Waldron2 ⚽
C. Cox1 ⚽
L. Spokes1 ⚽
Cards Given
Morecambe1 🟨
HerefordK. Kandola1 🟨