Bedford Town vs Chorley — National League - North
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Bedford Town and Chorley meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 17 November 2026. Bedford Town have recorded 12 wins from 24 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Chorley have won 35% of their 23 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Bedford Town and 1.14 for Chorley. The models give Bedford Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Chorley win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Bedford Town—
Chorley10º
Position
12º
1.57
PPG
1.43
50%
Win %
43%
1.21
Goals / game
1.64
1.36
Conceded / game
1.64
50%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
61%
4.3
Avg corners
0.0
8.3
Avg shots
0.0
2.7
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
44.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bedford Town
Home (7)
—
Chorley
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.00
57%
Win %
29%
1.43
Goals / game
1.00
1.29
Conceded / game
1.57
43%
BTTS %
33%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
43%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.3
Avg corners
0.0
8.3
Avg shots
0.0
2.7
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
44.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bedford Town | Home | Away | Chorley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 79% | 70% | 70% | 82% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 57% | 40% | 39% | 55% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 21% | 30% | 30% | 18% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Bedford Town | Home | Away | Chorley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 90% | 83% | 91% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 21% | 30% | 48% | 55% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 14% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 10% | 17% | 9% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bedford Town | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bedford Town | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Bedford Town (H)L
Macclesfield0–3
Macclesfield0–3W
Hednesford Town1–0
Hednesford Town1–0D
Cray Wanderers0–0
Cray Wanderers0–0D
Wingate & Finchley2–2
Wingate & Finchley2–2D
Hereford1–1
Hereford1–1W
King's Lynn Town2–1
King's Lynn Town2–1Chorley (A)L
Spennymoor Town0–2
Spennymoor Town0–2W
Radcliffe3–0
Radcliffe3–0L
Worcester City0–1
Worcester City0–1W
Barton Town Old Boys4–1
Barton Town Old Boys4–1W
Rylands1–0
Rylands1–0LKing's Lynn Town0–2
King's Lynn Town0–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bedford Town | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.7 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Bedford Town
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Chorley
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
21/02/26Chorley
Bedford Town
2–0Chorley22/11/25Bedford Town
Chorley
1–0Bedford Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 29 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Hereford | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 26 |
| 5 |  Buxton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 6 | King's Lynn Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 7 | Hednesford Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 8 |  Morecambe | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 9 |  Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Spalding United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 12 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Worksop Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Hebburn Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 |  AFC Telford United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 |
| 16 |  Brackley Town | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 |  Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 |  Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 16 |
| 19 |  Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 20 | Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 |  Scarborough Athletic | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
Team Insights
Bedford Town- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Chorley- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Chorley's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Bedford TownLHMacclesfield0–3
Macclesfield0–3WHHednesford Town1–0
Hednesford Town1–0WAScarborough Athletic2–1
Scarborough Athletic2–1LAChester0–1
Chester0–1DHHereford1–1
Hereford1–1LASpalding United1–2
Spalding United1–2–HChorley17/11
Chorley17/11–HSouth Shields21/11
South Shields21/11–AMerthyr Town24/11
Merthyr Town24/11ChorleyLASpennymoor Town0–2
Spennymoor Town0–2WARadcliffe3–0
Radcliffe3–0LHBuxton2–3
Buxton2–3WHAFC Telford United2–1
AFC Telford United2–1WHSpalding United2–1
Spalding United2–1LAKing's Lynn Town0–2
King's Lynn Town0–2–HHereford07/11
Hereford07/11–ABedford Town17/11
Bedford Town17/11–AWorksop Town21/11
Worksop Town21/11Top Scorers
Bedford TownG. Moncur8 ⚽
5 ⚽
R. Evans3 ⚽
M. Gyasi2 ⚽
E. Nto2 ⚽
J. Payne2 ⚽
ChorleyE. Taylor6 ⚽
M. Calveley5 ⚽
J. Hazelhurst3 ⚽
A. Blakeman2 ⚽
C. M. Rowe2 ⚽
H. Smith2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bedford Town4 🟨
Chorley