Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg — Regionalliga - SudWest
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Auestadion·Kassel·Germany·18,737
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Hessen Kassel and SGV Freiberg meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Hessen Kassel have recorded 9 wins from 25 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. SGV Freiberg have won 43% of their 21 matches, with 2.52 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Hessen Kassel and 1.77 for SGV Freiberg. The models give Hessen Kassel a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an SGV Freiberg win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Hessen Kassel—
SGV Freiberg12º
Position
1º
1.08
PPG
2.08
31%
Win %
54%
1.62
Goals / game
2.46
2.15
Conceded / game
1.00
52%
BTTS %
62%
16%
Clean sheet %
33%
80%
Over 2.5 %
81%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Hessen Kassel
Home (7)
—
SGV Freiberg
Away (7)
1.43
PPG
1.86
43%
Win %
43%
1.86
Goals / game
2.14
1.57
Conceded / game
1.14
55%
BTTS %
69%
9%
Clean sheet %
31%
91%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | SGV Freiberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 64% | 64% | 81% | 88% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 55% | 36% | 71% | 75% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 36% | 29% | 48% | 38% | 54% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 36% | 36% | 19% | 13% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | SGV Freiberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 91% | 79% | 67% | 63% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 55% | 64% | 48% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 27% | 21% | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 9% | 21% | 33% | 38% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hessen Kassel | SGV Freiberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 38% |
| BTTS | 52% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 28% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hessen Kassel | SGV Freiberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 16% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 52% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Hessen Kassel (H)L
VfR Mannheim0–3
VfR Mannheim0–3D
SSV Ulm 18462–2
SSV Ulm 18462–2L
FSV Mainz 05 II1–2
FSV Mainz 05 II1–2W
Kickers Offenbach2–1
Kickers Offenbach2–1W
SV Sandhausen5–2
SV Sandhausen5–2L
Eintracht Trier0–1
Eintracht Trier0–1SGV Freiberg (A)DKickers Offenbach1–1
Kickers Offenbach1–1W
Freiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1W
VfR Aalen3–2
VfR Aalen3–2DSV Sandhausen0–0
SV Sandhausen0–0DSSV Ulm 18464–4
SSV Ulm 18464–4DVfR Mannheim0–0
VfR Mannheim0–0Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Hessen Kassel
13%
3
Draws
38%
4
SGV Freiberg
50%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
25%
Over 2.5
2/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
28/03/26SGV Freiberg
Hessen Kassel
1–1SGV Freiberg27/09/25Hessen Kassel
SGV Freiberg
3–2Hessen Kassel12/04/25SGV Freiberg
Hessen Kassel
1–0SGV Freiberg12/10/24Hessen Kassel
SGV Freiberg
1–0Hessen Kassel20/04/24Hessen Kassel
SGV Freiberg
1–1Hessen Kassel14/10/23SGV Freiberg
Hessen Kassel
1–2SGV Freiberg04/03/23Hessen Kassel
SGV Freiberg
1–0Hessen Kassel26/08/22SGV Freiberg
Hessen Kassel
0–0SGV Freiberg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stuttgarter Kickers | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 | Eintracht Trier | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Kickers Offenbach | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 7 |  FC 08 Homburg | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 | SV Sandhausen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Freiburg II | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 |  TSV Steinbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Frankfurt II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  FC Astoria Walldorf | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  FSV Frankfurt | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Kaiserslautern II | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 11 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 |  Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
Team Insights
Hessen Kassel- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Hessen Kassel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
SGV Freiberg- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 13 matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Hessen KasselLAFC Astoria Walldorf1–4
FC Astoria Walldorf1–4LHVfR Mannheim0–3
VfR Mannheim0–3WAKaiserslautern II3–2
Kaiserslautern II3–2DHSSV Ulm 18462–2
SSV Ulm 18462–2LHFSV Mainz 05 II1–2
FSV Mainz 05 II1–2DAFC 08 Homburg2–2
FC 08 Homburg2–2–HBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.31/10
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.31/10–AVfR Aalen07/11
VfR Aalen07/11–AStuttgarter Kickers14/11
Stuttgarter Kickers14/11SGV FreibergDAKickers Offenbach1–1
Kickers Offenbach1–1WHBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0WAFreiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1DHTSV Steinbach2–2
TSV Steinbach2–2DHStuttgarter Kickers2–2
Stuttgarter Kickers2–2WAVfR Aalen3–2
VfR Aalen3–2–HFC Astoria Walldorf31/10
FC Astoria Walldorf31/10–AFSV Frankfurt07/11
FSV Frankfurt07/11–HEintracht Trier14/11
Eintracht Trier14/11Top Scorers
Hessen KasselS. Sararer7 ⚽
L. Damer3 ⚽
L. Rupp2 ⚽
C. Kaymaz2 ⚽
E. Boeyuekata2 ⚽
C. Sezer2 ⚽
SGV FreibergG. Lee6 ⚽
M. Gouras5 ⚽
J. Steinkotter5 ⚽
S. Mustapha4 ⚽
L. Peto3 ⚽
A. Ballo3 ⚽
Cards Given
Hessen KasselM. Springfeld2 🟨
SGV FreibergT. Bradara2 🟨
1 🟨