VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel — Regionalliga - SudWest
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VfR Aalen and Hessen Kassel meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 7 November 2026. VfR Aalen have recorded 12 wins from 20 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Hessen Kassel have won 36% of their 25 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for VfR Aalen and 1.30 for Hessen Kassel. The models give VfR Aalen a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Hessen Kassel win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| VfR Aalen | Home | Away | Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 92% | 88% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 67% | 63% | 44% | 55% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 17% | 25% | 32% | 36% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 8% | 13% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| VfR Aalen | Home | Away | Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 75% | 50% | 84% | 91% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 33% | 0% | 60% | 55% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 25% | 0% | 24% | 27% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 25% | 50% | 16% | 9% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| VfR Aalen | Hessen Kassel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 28% |
| BTTS | 60% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 28% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| VfR Aalen | Hessen Kassel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 65% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 5% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 10% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 8 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | +19 | 27 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 22 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 17 | |
| 10 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 14 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 13 | |
| 15 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 11 | |
| 17 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 | |
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●VfR Aalen have won their last 5 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of VfR Aalen's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Hessen Kassel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.