BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue — Regionalliga - Nordost
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BFC Dynamo and Erzgebirge Aue meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 13 December 2026. BFC Dynamo have recorded 13 wins from 24 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Erzgebirge Aue have won 55% of their 22 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for BFC Dynamo and 1.20 for Erzgebirge Aue. The models give BFC Dynamo a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Erzgebirge Aue win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| BFC Dynamo | Home | Away | Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 83% | 83% | 82% | 79% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 58% | 50% | 64% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 17% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| BFC Dynamo | Home | Away | Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 58% | 73% | 79% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 50% | 42% | 27% | 21% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| BFC Dynamo | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS | 46% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| BFC Dynamo | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | BFC Dynamo | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 15.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +27 | 34 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 33 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | +11 | 30 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +11 | 29 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 27 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 27 | |
| 7 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 26 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +5 | 23 | |
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 16 | |
| 13 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 14 | |
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 14 | |
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -15 | 11 | |
| 16 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 | |
| 17 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -19 | 9 | |
| 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -20 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●BFC Dynamo have been undefeated in their last 12 matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of BFC Dynamo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of BFC Dynamo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.