Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Lokomotive Leipzig and Luckenwalde meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Lokomotive Leipzig have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Luckenwalde have won 14% of their 21 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.66 for Luckenwalde. The models give Lokomotive Leipzig a 51% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Luckenwalde win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Lokomotive Leipzig—
Luckenwalde11º
Position
18º
1.31
PPG
0.43
31%
Win %
14%
1.92
Goals / game
1.00
1.92
Conceded / game
2.43
83%
BTTS %
71%
11%
Clean sheet %
10%
83%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lokomotive Leipzig
Home (7)
—
Luckenwalde
Away (7)
0.43
PPG
0.86
0%
Win %
29%
1.71
Goals / game
1.14
2.43
Conceded / game
2.00
82%
BTTS %
80%
9%
Clean sheet %
10%
82%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lokomotive Leipzig | Home | Away | Luckenwalde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 91% | 86% | 76% | 64% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 72% | 64% | 86% | 24% | 27% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 36% | 43% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 9% | 14% | 24% | 36% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Lokomotive Leipzig | Home | Away | Luckenwalde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 91% | 86% | 90% | 91% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 82% | 43% | 62% | 64% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 36% | 14% | 38% | 36% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 9% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lokomotive Leipzig | Luckenwalde | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 61% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 19% |
| BTTS | 83% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 83% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lokomotive Leipzig | Luckenwalde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 65% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 12% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 76% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 59% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Lokomotive Leipzig (H)D
BSG Chemie Leipzig2–2
BSG Chemie Leipzig2–2L
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt3–4
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt3–4D
BFC Dynamo2–2
BFC Dynamo2–2L
Erzgebirge Aue1–2
Erzgebirge Aue1–2L
Chemnitzer FC0–2
Chemnitzer FC0–2L
Hertha BSC II1–2
Hertha BSC II1–2Luckenwalde (A)L
Altglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3WBSG Chemie Leipzig3–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1L
Greifswalder FC1–3
Greifswalder FC1–3LErzgebirge Aue1–2
Erzgebirge Aue1–2L
FSV Zwickau1–2
FSV Zwickau1–2W
Magdeburg II1–0
Magdeburg II1–0Head to Head · 12 matches
7
Lokomotive Leipzig
58%
3
Draws
25%
2
Luckenwalde
17%
100%
Over 1.5
12/12
67%
Over 2.5
8/12
42%
Over 3.5
5/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
24/07/26Lokomotive Leipzig
Luckenwalde
1–3Lokomotive Leipzig28/02/26Lokomotive Leipzig
Luckenwalde
0–3Lokomotive Leipzig13/09/25Luckenwalde
Lokomotive Leipzig
4–0Luckenwalde14/12/24Lokomotive Leipzig
Luckenwalde
2–2Lokomotive Leipzig04/08/24Luckenwalde
Lokomotive Leipzig
1–1Luckenwalde17/03/24Luckenwalde
Lokomotive Leipzig
1–1Luckenwalde29/09/23Lokomotive Leipzig
Luckenwalde
2–0Lokomotive Leipzig16/04/23Lokomotive Leipzig
Luckenwalde
2–1Lokomotive Leipzig28/10/22Luckenwalde
Lokomotive Leipzig
2–0Luckenwalde15/05/22Luckenwalde
Lokomotive Leipzig
3–1Luckenwalde02/02/22Lokomotive Leipzig
Luckenwalde
2–3Lokomotive Leipzig02/09/20Luckenwalde
Lokomotive Leipzig
3–0Luckenwalde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +24 | 31 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Hallescher FC | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 26 |
| 6 | BFC Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 7 | Erzgebirge Aue | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 24 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 |  SV Babelsberg 03 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 |  BFC Preussen | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |  Tasmania Berlin | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
| 15 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Hertha BSC II | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 |  RSV Eintracht | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | -20 | 6 |
Team Insights
Lokomotive Leipzig- ●Lokomotive Leipzig have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lokomotive Leipzig have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Lokomotive Leipzig's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●82% of Lokomotive Leipzig's points have been earned away.
Luckenwalde- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●100% of Luckenwalde's points have been earned away.
- ●Luckenwalde have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lokomotive LeipzigDHBSG Chemie Leipzig2–2
BSG Chemie Leipzig2–2DASV Babelsberg 030–0
SV Babelsberg 030–0LHFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt3–4
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt3–4WAFC Carl Zeiss Jena2–1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena2–1DHBFC Dynamo2–2
BFC Dynamo2–2DAGreifswalder FC3–3
Greifswalder FC3–3–AHallescher FC25/10
Hallescher FC25/10–HAltglienicke30/10
Altglienicke30/10–AFSV Zwickau08/11
FSV Zwickau08/11LuckenwaldeLAAltglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3LHFC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2WABSG Chemie Leipzig3–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1LHSV Babelsberg 032–3
SV Babelsberg 032–3LAGreifswalder FC1–3
Greifswalder FC1–3LHBFC Preussen0–2
BFC Preussen0–2–HHertha BSC II30/10
Hertha BSC II30/10–AHallescher FC06/11
Hallescher FC06/11–HChemnitzer FC21/11
Chemnitzer FC21/11Top Scorers
Lokomotive LeipzigA. Adetula8 ⚽
D. Ziane7 ⚽
R. Bornschein4 ⚽
E. Ozturk3 ⚽
F. Abderrahmane2 ⚽
D. Cevis2 ⚽
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger6 ⚽
F. Schneider2 ⚽
J. Matzke2 ⚽
N. Kaus1 ⚽
P. Butendeich1 ⚽
P. Konig1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lokomotive LeipzigF. Kusic1 🟨
J. Stein1 🟨
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger2 🟨
L. Neumann2 🟨