Altglienicke vs Erzgebirge Aue — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Altglienicke and Erzgebirge Aue meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Altglienicke have recorded 15 wins from 27 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.15 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Erzgebirge Aue have won 52% of their 21 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Altglienicke and 1.48 for Erzgebirge Aue. The models give Altglienicke a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Erzgebirge Aue win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Altglienicke—
Erzgebirge Aue4º
Position
7º
1.93
PPG
1.71
57%
Win %
50%
1.86
Goals / game
1.64
1.21
Conceded / game
1.29
67%
BTTS %
62%
19%
Clean sheet %
24%
74%
Over 2.5 %
76%
3.0
Avg corners
2.0
9.0
Avg shots
5.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
1.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
13.0
Avg fouls
4.0
24.0%
Avg possession
35.0%
Home vs Away
Altglienicke
Home (7)
—
Erzgebirge Aue
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.86
57%
Win %
57%
1.71
Goals / game
1.71
1.14
Conceded / game
1.14
71%
BTTS %
50%
14%
Clean sheet %
38%
79%
Over 2.5 %
75%
3.0
Avg corners
2.0
9.0
Avg shots
5.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
1.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
24.0%
Avg possession
35.0%
Goals Scored
| Altglienicke | Home | Away | Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 86% | 85% | 81% | 77% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 71% | 54% | 67% | 62% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 48% | 64% | 31% | 29% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 14% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Altglienicke | Home | Away | Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 86% | 77% | 76% | 85% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 46% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 14% | 23% | 24% | 15% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Altglienicke | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 19% |
| BTTS | 67% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Altglienicke | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 59% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Altglienicke (H)W
Luckenwalde3–1
Luckenwalde3–1L
BFC Dynamo0–1
BFC Dynamo0–1W
RSV Eintracht3–1
RSV Eintracht3–1L
Chemnitzer FC0–2
Chemnitzer FC0–2D
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–1D
VfL Wolfsburg3–3
VfL Wolfsburg3–3Erzgebirge Aue (A)W
FSV Zwickau3–0
FSV Zwickau3–0L
Greifswalder FC0–1
Greifswalder FC0–1D
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2W
Magdeburg II2–1
Magdeburg II2–1W
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1LChemnitzer FC1–3
Chemnitzer FC1–3Number of Corners
16.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
17.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Altglienicke | Erzgebirge Aue | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 13 | 100% | 100% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Altglienicke | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 13.0 | 15.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Altglienicke
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Erzgebirge Aue
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
25/07/26Altglienicke
Erzgebirge Aue
3–3Altglienicke| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +24 | 31 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Hallescher FC | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 26 |
| 6 | BFC Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 7 | Erzgebirge Aue | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 24 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 |  SV Babelsberg 03 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 |  BFC Preussen | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |  Tasmania Berlin | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
| 15 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 |  Hertha BSC II | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | RSV Eintracht | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | -20 | 6 |
Team Insights
Altglienicke- ●Altglienicke have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Altglienicke have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Erzgebirge Aue- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
AltglienickeWHLuckenwalde3–1
Luckenwalde3–1WABFC Preussen3–1
BFC Preussen3–1LHBFC Dynamo0–1
BFC Dynamo0–1WAMagdeburg II1–0
Magdeburg II1–0WHRSV Eintracht3–1
RSV Eintracht3–1WAFSV Zwickau2–1
FSV Zwickau2–1–ALokomotive Leipzig30/10
Lokomotive Leipzig30/10–HTasmania Berlin06/11
Tasmania Berlin06/11–AFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt20/11
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt20/11Erzgebirge AueWAFSV Zwickau3–0
FSV Zwickau3–0LHHallescher FC0–1
Hallescher FC0–1LAGreifswalder FC0–1
Greifswalder FC0–1LHBSG Chemie Leipzig1–2
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–2DAFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2WAMagdeburg II2–1
Magdeburg II2–1–HFC Carl Zeiss Jena31/10
FC Carl Zeiss Jena31/10–ARSV Eintracht08/11
RSV Eintracht08/11–HSV Babelsberg 0321/11
SV Babelsberg 0321/11Top Scorers
AltglienickeJ. Nietfeld9 ⚽
J. Saliger5 ⚽
J. Hartl4 ⚽
E. Qenaj3 ⚽
J. Brooks3 ⚽
D. Schickersinsky3 ⚽
Erzgebirge AueT. Maciejewski8 ⚽
M. Bar6 ⚽
L. Queisser4 ⚽
W. Kamm3 ⚽
F. Heidrich2 ⚽
P. W. Kapp2 ⚽
Cards Given
AltglienickeE. Oduah1 🟨
T. Rieder1 🟨
Erzgebirge AueT. Maciejewski2 🟨
M. Burghardt1 🟨