Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Luckenwalde and Chemnitzer FC meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Luckenwalde have recorded 3 wins from 21 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Chemnitzer FC have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 2.32 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.94 for Luckenwalde and 2.20 for Chemnitzer FC. The models give Luckenwalde a 14% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Chemnitzer FC win at 64%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Luckenwalde—
Chemnitzer FC18º
Position
2º
0.43
PPG
2.14
14%
Win %
64%
1.00
Goals / game
2.14
2.43
Conceded / game
0.64
71%
BTTS %
55%
10%
Clean sheet %
41%
62%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Luckenwalde
Home (7)
—
Chemnitzer FC
Away (7)
0.00
PPG
2.43
0%
Win %
71%
0.86
Goals / game
2.29
2.86
Conceded / game
0.29
64%
BTTS %
38%
9%
Clean sheet %
63%
55%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Luckenwalde | Home | Away | Chemnitzer FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 64% | 90% | 91% | 93% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 27% | 20% | 64% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 9% | 10% | 55% | 57% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 36% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Luckenwalde | Home | Away | Chemnitzer FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 91% | 90% | 59% | 71% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 64% | 60% | 18% | 21% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 36% | 40% | 9% | 7% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 9% | 10% | 41% | 29% | 63% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luckenwalde | Chemnitzer FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 14% |
| BTTS | 71% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luckenwalde | Chemnitzer FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 76% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Luckenwalde (H)L
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2W
Magdeburg II3–1
Magdeburg II3–1L
SV Babelsberg 032–3
SV Babelsberg 032–3L
BFC Preussen0–2
BFC Preussen0–2L
BFC Dynamo0–2
BFC Dynamo0–2L
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0–5
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0–5Chemnitzer FC (A)DBFC Dynamo1–1
BFC Dynamo1–1W
RSV Eintracht4–0
RSV Eintracht4–0W
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1W
Altglienicke2–0
Altglienicke2–0W
Lokomotive Leipzig2–0
Lokomotive Leipzig2–0D
Hallescher FC0–0
Hallescher FC0–0Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Luckenwalde
18%
3
Draws
27%
6
Chemnitzer FC
55%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
13/12/25Luckenwalde
Chemnitzer FC
3–3Luckenwalde02/08/25Chemnitzer FC
Luckenwalde
2–1Chemnitzer FC06/04/25Luckenwalde
Chemnitzer FC
2–0Luckenwalde05/10/24Chemnitzer FC
Luckenwalde
0–2Chemnitzer FC06/04/24Chemnitzer FC
Luckenwalde
1–2Chemnitzer FC20/10/23Luckenwalde
Chemnitzer FC
1–2Luckenwalde02/04/23Chemnitzer FC
Luckenwalde
0–0Chemnitzer FC16/10/22Luckenwalde
Chemnitzer FC
2–0Luckenwalde12/03/22Luckenwalde
Chemnitzer FC
4–1Luckenwalde29/09/21Chemnitzer FC
Luckenwalde
1–1Chemnitzer FC25/10/20Luckenwalde
Chemnitzer FC
3–0Luckenwalde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +24 | 31 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 | Hallescher FC | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 26 |
| 6 | BFC Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 7 |  Erzgebirge Aue | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 24 |
| 8 |  Greifswalder FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 |  FSV Zwickau | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |  Tasmania Berlin | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
| 15 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 |  Hertha BSC II | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | RSV Eintracht | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | -20 | 6 |
Team Insights
Luckenwalde- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●100% of Luckenwalde's points have been earned away.
- ●Luckenwalde have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Chemnitzer FC- ●Chemnitzer FC have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●78% of Chemnitzer FC's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
LuckenwaldeLAAltglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3LHFC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2WABSG Chemie Leipzig3–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1LHSV Babelsberg 032–3
SV Babelsberg 032–3LAGreifswalder FC1–3
Greifswalder FC1–3LHBFC Preussen0–2
BFC Preussen0–2–HHertha BSC II30/10
Hertha BSC II30/10–AHallescher FC06/11
Hallescher FC06/11–HChemnitzer FC21/11
Chemnitzer FC21/11Chemnitzer FCLHMagdeburg II1–2
Magdeburg II1–2DABFC Dynamo1–1
BFC Dynamo1–1WHFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt3–1
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt3–1WARSV Eintracht4–0
RSV Eintracht4–0WABSG Chemie Leipzig3–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1LHSV Babelsberg 030–1
SV Babelsberg 030–1–ATasmania Berlin01/11
Tasmania Berlin01/11–HGreifswalder FC07/11
Greifswalder FC07/11–ALuckenwalde21/11
Luckenwalde21/11Top Scorers
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger6 ⚽
F. Schneider2 ⚽
J. Matzke2 ⚽
N. Kaus1 ⚽
P. Butendeich1 ⚽
P. Konig1 ⚽
Chemnitzer FCJ. Marx8 ⚽
R. Berlinski5 ⚽
T. Baumgart5 ⚽
M. Fesser4 ⚽
D. Alberico4 ⚽
M. Grimaldi3 ⚽
Cards Given
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger2 🟨
L. Neumann2 🟨
Chemnitzer FCM. Groger1 🟨