Luckenwalde vs Hertha BSC II — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Luckenwalde and Hertha BSC II meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Luckenwalde have recorded 3 wins from 21 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Hertha BSC II have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Luckenwalde and 1.72 for Hertha BSC II. The models give Luckenwalde a 31% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Hertha BSC II win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Luckenwalde—
Hertha BSC II18º
Position
16º
0.43
PPG
0.77
14%
Win %
15%
1.00
Goals / game
0.77
2.43
Conceded / game
1.77
71%
BTTS %
53%
10%
Clean sheet %
24%
62%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Luckenwalde
Home (7)
—
Hertha BSC II
Away (6)
0.00
PPG
1.33
0%
Win %
33%
0.86
Goals / game
1.00
2.86
Conceded / game
1.33
64%
BTTS %
57%
9%
Clean sheet %
29%
55%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Luckenwalde | Home | Away | Hertha BSC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 64% | 90% | 71% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 27% | 20% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 9% | 10% | 18% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 36% | 10% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Luckenwalde | Home | Away | Hertha BSC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 91% | 90% | 76% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 64% | 60% | 41% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 36% | 40% | 29% | 20% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 9% | 10% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luckenwalde | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 12% |
| BTTS | 71% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luckenwalde | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 76% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Luckenwalde (H)L
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2W
Magdeburg II3–1
Magdeburg II3–1L
SV Babelsberg 032–3
SV Babelsberg 032–3L
BFC Preussen0–2
BFC Preussen0–2L
BFC Dynamo0–2
BFC Dynamo0–2L
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0–5
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0–5Hertha BSC (A)DBFC Preussen1–1
BFC Preussen1–1WSV Babelsberg 032–0
SV Babelsberg 032–0LFC Carl Zeiss Jena0–3
FC Carl Zeiss Jena0–3D
Erzgebirge Aue0–0
Erzgebirge Aue0–0L
Altglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3W
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1Head to Head · 12 matches
5
Luckenwalde
42%
0
Draws
0%
7
Hertha BSC
58%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
42%
Over 2.5
5/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
33%
BTTS
4/12
30/04/26Luckenwalde
Hertha BSC II
0–1Luckenwalde07/11/25Hertha BSC II
Luckenwalde
0–1Hertha BSC II28/03/25Hertha BSC II
Luckenwalde
1–0Hertha BSC II08/01/25Luckenwalde
Hertha BSC II
0–2Luckenwalde27/09/24Luckenwalde
Hertha BSC II
2–1Luckenwalde14/04/24Luckenwalde
Hertha BSC II
1–0Luckenwalde28/10/23Hertha BSC II
Luckenwalde
2–0Hertha BSC II23/04/23Luckenwalde
Hertha BSC II
2–0Luckenwalde04/11/22Hertha BSC II
Luckenwalde
1–2Hertha BSC II25/02/22Luckenwalde
Hertha BSC II
4–0Luckenwalde27/08/21Hertha BSC II
Luckenwalde
2–3Hertha BSC II20/09/20Luckenwalde
Hertha BSC II
1–2Luckenwalde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +24 | 31 |
| 2 |  Chemnitzer FC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Hallescher FC | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 26 |
| 6 | BFC Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 7 | Erzgebirge Aue | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 24 |
| 8 |  Greifswalder FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 |  FSV Zwickau | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |  Tasmania Berlin | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
| 15 |  BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Hertha BSC II | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 |  RSV Eintracht | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | -20 | 6 |
Team Insights
Luckenwalde- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●100% of Luckenwalde's points have been earned away.
- ●Luckenwalde have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Hertha BSC- ●Hertha BSC II have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Hertha BSC II have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Hertha BSC II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Hertha BSC II failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hertha BSC II have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●65% of Hertha BSC II's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●80% of Hertha BSC II's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
LuckenwaldeLAAltglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3LHFC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2WABSG Chemie Leipzig3–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1LHSV Babelsberg 032–3
SV Babelsberg 032–3LAGreifswalder FC1–3
Greifswalder FC1–3LHBFC Preussen0–2
BFC Preussen0–2–HHertha BSC II30/10
Hertha BSC II30/10–AHallescher FC06/11
Hallescher FC06/11–HChemnitzer FC21/11
Chemnitzer FC21/11Hertha BSCLHRSV Eintracht0–1
RSV Eintracht0–1DABFC Preussen1–1
BFC Preussen1–1DHFSV Zwickau1–1
FSV Zwickau1–1WASV Babelsberg 032–0
SV Babelsberg 032–0LHFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt1–2
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt1–2LAFC Carl Zeiss Jena0–3
FC Carl Zeiss Jena0–3–ABSG Chemie Leipzig25/10
BSG Chemie Leipzig25/10–ALuckenwalde30/10
Luckenwalde30/10–HMagdeburg II08/11
Magdeburg II08/11Top Scorers
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger6 ⚽
F. Schneider2 ⚽
J. Matzke2 ⚽
N. Kaus1 ⚽
P. Butendeich1 ⚽
P. Konig1 ⚽
Hertha BSCO. Rolke4 ⚽
T. Akoto3 ⚽
J. Ndi3 ⚽
L. Kannewurf2 ⚽
J. Richter1 ⚽
E. Aslanidis1 ⚽
Cards Given
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger2 🟨
L. Neumann2 🟨
Hertha BSCE. Adelenu2 🟨
F. Brekalo2 🟨
B. Mamuzah Lum1 🟨