Bremer SV vs VfB Lübeck — Regionalliga - Nord
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Bremer SV and VfB Lübeck meet in the Regionalliga - Nord 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Bremer SV have recorded 3 wins from 21 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.76 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. VfB Lübeck have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Bremer SV and 1.69 for VfB Lübeck. The models give Bremer SV a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an VfB Lübeck win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Bremer SV—
VfB Lübeck18º
Position
11º
0.80
PPG
1.20
20%
Win %
27%
0.87
Goals / game
1.47
1.80
Conceded / game
1.87
38%
BTTS %
70%
19%
Clean sheet %
17%
52%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bremer SV
Home (9)
—
VfB Lübeck
Away (5)
0.56
PPG
1.00
11%
Win %
20%
0.89
Goals / game
1.00
2.22
Conceded / game
2.00
42%
BTTS %
57%
8%
Clean sheet %
14%
58%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bremer SV | Home | Away | VfB Lübeck | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 48% | 42% | 56% | 78% | 88% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 19% | 25% | 11% | 57% | 63% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 8% | 0% | 30% | 38% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 52% | 58% | 44% | 22% | 13% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Bremer SV | Home | Away | VfB Lübeck | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 92% | 67% | 83% | 81% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 50% | 56% | 39% | 31% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 42% | 33% | 17% | 19% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 8% | 33% | 17% | 19% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bremer SV | VfB Lübeck | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 26% |
| BTTS | 38% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bremer SV | VfB Lübeck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 16% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 16% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 37% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 16% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Bremer SV (H)W
Hamburger SV II4–1
Hamburger SV II4–1L
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–3
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–3L
Weiche Flensburg0–3
Weiche Flensburg0–3L
VfB Oldenburg0–4
VfB Oldenburg0–4L
Kickers Emden2–3
Kickers Emden2–3D
Schöningen2–2
Schöningen2–2VfB Lübeck (A)W
SSV Jeddeloh2–1
SSV Jeddeloh2–1D
Hannover 96 II2–2
Hannover 96 II2–2D
Eintracht Norderstedt1–1
Eintracht Norderstedt1–1L
Phönix Lübeck0–4
Phönix Lübeck0–4L
Atlas Delmenhorst0–2
Atlas Delmenhorst0–2D
Greifswalder FC0–0
Greifswalder FC0–0Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Bremer SV
14%
0
Draws
0%
6
VfB Lübeck
86%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
57%
Over 3.5
4/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
19/09/26Bremer SV
VfB Lübeck
2–1Bremer SV09/11/25VfB Lübeck
Bremer SV
2–3VfB Lübeck26/07/25Bremer SV
VfB Lübeck
2–0Bremer SV02/03/25VfB Lübeck
Bremer SV
0–1VfB Lübeck31/08/24Bremer SV
VfB Lübeck
1–4Bremer SV10/12/22Bremer SV
VfB Lübeck
4–1Bremer SV14/08/22VfB Lübeck
Bremer SV
1–3VfB Lübeck| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 II | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 33 |
| 3 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +26 | 32 |
| 4 | VfB Oldenburg | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +22 | 32 |
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +27 | 31 |
| 6 | Schöningen | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 21 |
| 8 | Kickers Emden | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV II | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen II | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | VfB Lübeck | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 |  HSC Hannover | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 |  Eimsbütteler TV | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | SSV Jeddeloh | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 |  Todesfelde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 |  St. Pauli II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Bremer SV | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 12 |
Team Insights
Bremer SV- ●Bremer SV failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Bremer SV failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Bremer SV have lost 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Bremer SV have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Bremer SV's goals have been scored at home.
- ●74% of Bremer SV's goals conceded were conceded at home.
VfB Lübeck- ●VfB Lübeck have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●77% of VfB Lübeck's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Bremer SVDASSV Jeddeloh0–0
SSV Jeddeloh0–0WHHamburger SV II4–1
Hamburger SV II4–1LAAtlas Delmenhorst0–2
Atlas Delmenhorst0–2LHSV Drochtersen/Assel0–3
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–3LHWeiche Flensburg0–3
Weiche Flensburg0–3LAVfB Lübeck1–2
VfB Lübeck1–2–AWerder Bremen II07/11
Werder Bremen II07/11–HEimsbütteler TV15/11
Eimsbütteler TV15/11–AKickers Emden21/11
Kickers Emden21/11VfB LübeckLHWerder Bremen II2–5
Werder Bremen II2–5WHSt. Pauli II4–1
St. Pauli II4–1WASSV Jeddeloh2–1
SSV Jeddeloh2–1DHEimsbütteler TV0–0
Eimsbütteler TV0–0WHTodesfelde3–2
Todesfelde3–2WHBremer SV2–1
Bremer SV2–1–AKickers Emden06/11
Kickers Emden06/11–HEintracht Norderstedt14/11
Eintracht Norderstedt14/11–AHSC Hannover21/11
HSC Hannover21/11Top Scorers
Bremer SVB. Redecker6 ⚽
A. Nwachukwu2 ⚽
V. Tunc2 ⚽
L. Schlake1 ⚽
J. Dudock1 ⚽
F. Kleiner1 ⚽
VfB LübeckB. Pfundheller4 ⚽
L. Heiduck3 ⚽
M. Thiel2 ⚽
F. Istefo2 ⚽
J. Amadi2 ⚽
R. Demir2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bremer SVB. Redecker2 🟨
M. Tasmin2 🟨
VfB Lübeck