Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II — Regionalliga - Nord
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Phönix Lübeck and St. Pauli II meet in the Regionalliga - Nord 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Phönix Lübeck have recorded 11 wins from 22 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.73 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. St. Pauli II have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 2.05 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.91 for Phönix Lübeck and 1.37 for St. Pauli II. The models give Phönix Lübeck a 70% win probability, with a draw at 18% and an St. Pauli II win at 12%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 80% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Phönix Lübeck—
St. Pauli II5º
Position
17º
2.08
PPG
0.77
62%
Win %
23%
2.77
Goals / game
1.85
0.92
Conceded / game
2.23
64%
BTTS %
65%
36%
Clean sheet %
15%
77%
Over 2.5 %
70%
8.0
Avg corners
0.0
15.0
Avg shots
0.0
8.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
17.0
Avg fouls
0.0
36.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Phönix Lübeck
Home (4)
—
St. Pauli II
Away (7)
3.00
PPG
0.43
100%
Win %
14%
4.75
Goals / game
1.71
0.25
Conceded / game
2.71
43%
BTTS %
67%
57%
Clean sheet %
11%
71%
Over 2.5 %
67%
8.0
Avg corners
0.0
15.0
Avg shots
0.0
8.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
36.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Phönix Lübeck | Home | Away | St. Pauli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 100% | 93% | 80% | 82% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 78% | 88% | 73% | 65% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 50% | 33% | 35% | 45% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 0% | 7% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Phönix Lübeck | Home | Away | St. Pauli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 50% | 73% | 85% | 82% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 25% | 53% | 50% | 45% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 13% | 27% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 50% | 27% | 15% | 18% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Phönix Lübeck | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 40% |
| BTTS | 65% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Phönix Lübeck | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 61% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 78% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Phönix Lübeck (H)D
Atlas Delmenhorst2–2
Atlas Delmenhorst2–2W
Eintracht Norderstedt4–1
Eintracht Norderstedt4–1W
Todesfelde9–0
Todesfelde9–0L
SC Paderborn 072–4
SC Paderborn 072–4W
VfB Lübeck4–0
VfB Lübeck4–0W
SSV Jeddeloh2–0
SSV Jeddeloh2–0St. Pauli (A)LVfB Lübeck1–4
VfB Lübeck1–4L
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–1
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–1W
Hamburger SV II3–0
Hamburger SV II3–0L
Hannover 96 II2–3
Hannover 96 II2–3L
Schöningen2–3
Schöningen2–3LSSV Jeddeloh0–2
SSV Jeddeloh0–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Phönix Lübeck | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
8
Phönix Lübeck
62%
3
Draws
23%
2
St. Pauli
15%
85%
Over 1.5
11/13
62%
Over 2.5
8/13
31%
Over 3.5
4/13
46%
BTTS
6/13
30/08/26Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
2–2Phönix Lübeck22/04/26St. Pauli II
Phönix Lübeck
3–0St. Pauli II27/08/25Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
1–1Phönix Lübeck21/04/25St. Pauli II
Phönix Lübeck
2–0St. Pauli II25/08/24Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
3–5Phönix Lübeck27/03/24Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
0–0Phönix Lübeck27/08/23St. Pauli II
Phönix Lübeck
2–1St. Pauli II25/01/23St. Pauli II
Phönix Lübeck
1–0St. Pauli II26/11/22Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
0–3Phönix Lübeck31/07/22St. Pauli II
Phönix Lübeck
1–3St. Pauli II20/11/21St. Pauli II
Phönix Lübeck
2–0St. Pauli II05/09/21Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
3–1Phönix Lübeck07/10/20Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
0–3Phönix Lübeck| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weiche Flensburg | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +29 | 34 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 II | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 33 |
| 3 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | +26 | 31 |
| 4 |  VfB Oldenburg | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +22 | 31 |
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +24 | 27 |
| 6 | Schöningen | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Kickers Emden | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | VfB Lübeck | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 |  HSC Hannover | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 17 |
| 11 |  Werder Bremen II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 |  Eimsbütteler TV | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 15 |
| 13 | SSV Jeddeloh | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV II | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 | Todesfelde | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -25 | 12 |
| 17 | St. Pauli II | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Bremer SV | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 8 |
Team Insights
Phönix Lübeck- ●Phönix Lübeck have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have won 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Phönix Lübeck have scored in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●79% of Phönix Lübeck's goals conceded were conceded away.
St. Pauli- ●St. Pauli II have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●St. Pauli II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●St. Pauli II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●66% of St. Pauli II's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of St. Pauli II's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Phönix LübeckDHAtlas Delmenhorst2–2
Atlas Delmenhorst2–2DAKickers Emden2–2
Kickers Emden2–2WHEintracht Norderstedt4–1
Eintracht Norderstedt4–1LAHannover 96 II2–3
Hannover 96 II2–3WAWeiche Flensburg2–1
Weiche Flensburg2–1WHTodesfelde9–0
Todesfelde9–0–ASchöningen31/10
Schöningen31/10–HHamburger SV II08/11
Hamburger SV II08/11–ASSV Jeddeloh14/11
SSV Jeddeloh14/11St. PauliWHWeiche Flensburg3–0
Weiche Flensburg3–0LAVfB Lübeck1–4
VfB Lübeck1–4LHHSC Hannover3–4
HSC Hannover3–4LHKickers Emden0–2
Kickers Emden0–2LASV Drochtersen/Assel0–1
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–1WAHamburger SV II3–0
Hamburger SV II3–0–HEimsbütteler TV01/11
Eimsbütteler TV01/11–AVfB Oldenburg07/11
VfB Oldenburg07/11–HAtlas Delmenhorst14/11
Atlas Delmenhorst14/11Top Scorers
Phönix LübeckJ. Markvoort Beke8 ⚽
O. Touray7 ⚽
J. Boccaccio4 ⚽
O. Rahimic4 ⚽
K. Skolik3 ⚽
J. Stover3 ⚽
St. PauliJ. Wardius9 ⚽
H. Sabah6 ⚽
N. Goguadze6 ⚽
W. Kaba2 ⚽
E. Ahlstrand2 ⚽
H. Wurr1 ⚽
Cards Given
Phönix LübeckD. Haritonov2 🟨
F. Maiolo1 🟨
K. Huneburg1 🟨
St. PauliH. Wurr1 🟨
N. Schmidt1 🟨