St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg — Regionalliga - Nord
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St. Pauli II and Weiche Flensburg meet in the Regionalliga - Nord 2026 season on 25 October 2026. St. Pauli II have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Weiche Flensburg have won 68% of their 19 matches, with 2.84 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 84%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for St. Pauli II and 2.15 for Weiche Flensburg. The models give St. Pauli II a 23% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Weiche Flensburg win at 55%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| St. Pauli | Home | Away | Weiche Flensburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 80% | 78% | 95% | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 70% | 56% | 63% | 70% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 40% | 22% | 58% | 70% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 20% | 22% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| St. Pauli | Home | Away | Weiche Flensburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 90% | 89% | 68% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 50% | 56% | 37% | 50% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 37% | 30% | 44% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 10% | 11% | 32% | 40% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| St. Pauli | Weiche Flensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 37% |
| BTTS | 68% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 37% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 32% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| St. Pauli | Weiche Flensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 72% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 61% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 12 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +29 | 34 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 33 | |
| 3 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | +26 | 31 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +22 | 31 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +24 | 27 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 24 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 18 | |
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 15 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 14 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 13 | |
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 13 | |
| 16 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -25 | 12 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 10 | |
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 8 |
Team Insights
- ●St. Pauli II have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●St. Pauli II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●St. Pauli II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●66% of St. Pauli II's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.