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St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg — Regionalliga - Nord

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St. Pauli II
St. Pauli II
17º · 0.77 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 1h
vs
–
–
Weiche Flensburg
Weiche Flensburg
1º · 2.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 19h
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St. Pauli II and Weiche Flensburg meet in the Regionalliga - Nord 2026 season on 25 October 2026. St. Pauli II have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Weiche Flensburg have won 68% of their 19 matches, with 2.84 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 84%, and clean sheets at 32%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for St. Pauli II and 2.15 for Weiche Flensburg. The models give St. Pauli II a 23% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Weiche Flensburg win at 55%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.

Season Statistics

St. Pauli II
—
Weiche Flensburg
17º
Position
1º
0.77
PPG
2.43
23%
Win %
79%
1.85
Goals / game
3.07
2.23
Conceded / game
1.00
68%
BTTS %
63%
11%
Clean sheet %
32%
68%
Over 2.5 %
84%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

St. Pauli II
Home (6)
—
Weiche Flensburg
Away (7)
1.17
PPG
2.29
33%
Win %
71%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
1.67
Conceded / game
0.86
70%
BTTS %
78%
10%
Clean sheet %
22%
70%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

St. PauliHomeAwayWeiche FlensburgHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%80%78%95%90%100%
Over 1.5 Scored63%70%56%63%70%56%
Over 2.5 Scored32%40%22%58%70%44%
Failed To Score21%20%22%5%10%0%

Goals Conceded

St. PauliHomeAwayWeiche FlensburgHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded89%90%89%68%60%78%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%50%56%37%50%22%
Over 2.5 Conceded37%30%44%5%10%0%
Clean Sheets11%10%11%32%40%22%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

St. PauliWeiche Flensburg
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.589%95%
Over 2.568%84%
Over 3.553%47%
Over 4.542%37%
BTTS68%63%
BTTS & Win16%37%
BTTS & Draw21%11%
BTTS & Over 2.558%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%32%

1st Half / 2nd Half

St. PauliWeiche Flensburg
Win 1st Half37%50%
Draw 1st Half32%22%
Loss 1st Half32%28%
Scored 1st Half58%72%
Conceded 1st Half63%56%
Win 2nd Half26%61%
Draw 2nd Half21%28%
Loss 2nd Half53%11%
Scored 2nd Half58%72%
Conceded 2nd Half68%44%
Over 0.5 HT84%100%
Over 1.5 HT53%56%

Recent Venue Form

St. Pauli (H)
LHSC Hannover3–4
LKickers Emden0–2
WEintracht Norderstedt5–0
DPhönix Lübeck2–2
WWerder Bremen II2–1
LBremer SV0–1
Weiche Flensburg (A)
WTodesfelde4–0
WBremer SV3–0
LSchöningen1–2
WHSC Hannover6–1
WEintracht Norderstedt4–1
WWerder Bremen II2–1

Head to Head · 12 matches

4
St. Pauli
33%
4
Draws
33%
4
Weiche Flensburg
33%
75%
Over 1.5
9/12
67%
Over 2.5
8/12
58%
Over 3.5
7/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
21/03/26
Weiche Flensburg
1–1
St. Pauli II
21/09/25
St. Pauli II
1–3
Weiche Flensburg
03/05/25
Weiche Flensburg
0–1
St. Pauli II
20/10/24
St. Pauli II
2–2
Weiche Flensburg
17/03/24
St. Pauli II
0–0
Weiche Flensburg
23/09/23
Weiche Flensburg
0–5
St. Pauli II
06/04/23
Weiche Flensburg
0–1
St. Pauli II
11/09/22
St. Pauli II
1–4
Weiche Flensburg
23/02/22
Weiche Flensburg
3–3
St. Pauli II
10/10/21
St. Pauli II
2–1
Weiche Flensburg
20/09/20
St. Pauli II
0–4
Weiche Flensburg
26/10/19
Weiche Flensburg
4–1
St. Pauli II
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Weiche Flensburg141112+2934
2Hannover 96 II151032+1533
3SV Drochtersen/Assel151014+2631
4VfB Oldenburg141013+2231
5Phönix Lübeck13832+2427
6Schöningen14734-224
7Atlas Delmenhorst13544-119
8Kickers Emden15546-519
9VfB Lübeck14464-318
10HSC Hannover15456-917
11Werder Bremen II14437-415
12Eimsbütteler TV14437-1415
13SSV Jeddeloh15429-1414
14Eintracht Norderstedt13346-813
15Hamburger SV II13418-913
16Todesfelde15339-2512
17St. Pauli II13319-510
18Bremer SV13229-178

Team Insights

St. Pauli
  • ●St. Pauli II have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●St. Pauli II have lost their last 4 matches.
  • ●St. Pauli II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●St. Pauli II have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●St. Pauli II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●St. Pauli II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●St. Pauli II have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●St. Pauli II have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●66% of St. Pauli II's goals conceded were conceded away.
Weiche Flensburg
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have won their last 4 matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.

Season Schedule

St. Pauli
LAVfB Lübeck1–4
LHHSC Hannover3–4
LHKickers Emden0–2
LASV Drochtersen/Assel0–1
WAHamburger SV II3–0
WHEintracht Norderstedt5–0
–HWeiche Flensburg25/10
–HEimsbütteler TV01/11
–AVfB Oldenburg07/11
Weiche Flensburg
WHSV Drochtersen/Assel3–0
WATodesfelde4–0
WHVfB Oldenburg3–2
WABremer SV3–0
LHPhönix Lübeck1–2
LASchöningen1–2
–ASt. Pauli II25/10
–HKickers Emden31/10
–AHannover 96 II07/11

Top Scorers

St. Pauli
J. Wardius8 ⚽
H. Sabah6 ⚽
N. Goguadze6 ⚽
W. Kaba2 ⚽
H. Wurr1 ⚽
E. Quasi1 ⚽
Weiche Flensburg
E. Krasniqi12 ⚽
R. Tobinski10 ⚽
I. Ali9 ⚽
M. Cornils4 ⚽
M. Tytarenko4 ⚽
T. Marten2 ⚽

Cards Given

St. Pauli
H. Wurr1 🟨
N. Schmidt1 🟨
Weiche Flensburg