Aubstadt vs Buchbach — Regionalliga - Bayern
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Aubstadt and Buchbach meet in the Regionalliga - Bayern 2026 season on 20 February 2027. Aubstadt have recorded 7 wins from 22 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.59 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Buchbach have won 42% of their 26 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Aubstadt and 1.45 for Buchbach. The models give Aubstadt a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Buchbach win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Aubstadt—
Buchbach16º
Position
3º
0.88
PPG
1.71
19%
Win %
47%
1.25
Goals / game
1.94
1.56
Conceded / game
1.59
45%
BTTS %
65%
27%
Clean sheet %
19%
59%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aubstadt
Home (9)
—
Buchbach
Away (9)
1.22
PPG
1.67
33%
Win %
44%
1.67
Goals / game
1.78
1.33
Conceded / game
1.56
38%
BTTS %
58%
46%
Clean sheet %
25%
54%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aubstadt | Home | Away | Buchbach | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 77% | 56% | 85% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 69% | 22% | 58% | 57% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 31% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 23% | 44% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Aubstadt | Home | Away | Buchbach | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 54% | 100% | 81% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 31% | 56% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 15% | 33% | 31% | 36% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 46% | 0% | 19% | 14% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aubstadt | Buchbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 23% |
| BTTS | 45% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aubstadt | Buchbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 10% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Aubstadt (H)W
Vilzing2–0
Vilzing2–0D
Illertissen0–0
Illertissen0–0L
Memmingen0–1
Memmingen0–1L
Bayern München II0–2
Bayern München II0–2L
SpVgg Unterhaching2–3
SpVgg Unterhaching2–3W
Ansbach2–0
Ansbach2–0Buchbach (A)L
TSV 1860 München3–4
TSV 1860 München3–4LIllertissen0–4
Illertissen0–4DVilzing1–1
Vilzing1–1DSpVgg Unterhaching2–2
SpVgg Unterhaching2–2WMemmingen1–0
Memmingen1–0W
Landsberg3–1
Landsberg3–1Head to Head · 13 matches
6
Aubstadt
46%
3
Draws
23%
4
Buchbach
31%
92%
Over 1.5
12/13
62%
Over 2.5
8/13
54%
Over 3.5
7/13
85%
BTTS
11/13
14/08/26Aubstadt
Buchbach
1–1Aubstadt11/04/26Buchbach
Aubstadt
4–1Buchbach26/09/25Aubstadt
Buchbach
2–4Aubstadt10/05/25Buchbach
Aubstadt
1–1Buchbach22/10/24Aubstadt
Buchbach
3–2Aubstadt18/05/24Aubstadt
Buchbach
5–2Aubstadt21/10/23Buchbach
Aubstadt
3–1Buchbach25/03/23Buchbach
Aubstadt
0–2Buchbach02/09/22Aubstadt
Buchbach
2–4Aubstadt16/04/22Buchbach
Aubstadt
4–1Buchbach07/08/21Aubstadt
Buchbach
1–1Aubstadt24/10/20Buchbach
Aubstadt
1–0Buchbach18/08/19Aubstadt
Buchbach
2–1Aubstadt| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Memmingen | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 36 |
| 2 | TSV 1860 München | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Buchbach | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 | Illertissen | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +12 | 26 |
| 6 |  Bayreuth | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | +10 | 25 |
| 7 |  Augsburg II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 |  Wacker Burghausen | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 9 |  Nürnberg II | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +4 | 21 |
| 10 | Bayern München II | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 11 | Vilzing | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Eichstätt | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 |  Schwaben Augsburg | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 21 |
| 14 |  Eltersdorf | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  FC Schweinfurt 05 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 | Aubstadt | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 14 |
| 17 |  Greuther Fürth II | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Ansbach | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -17 | 13 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -16 | 10 |
Team Insights
Aubstadt- ●Aubstadt have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Aubstadt failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Aubstadt failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Aubstadt failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Aubstadt's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Aubstadt's points have been earned at home.
Buchbach- ●Buchbach have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Buchbach failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Buchbach have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Buchbach have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Buchbach failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Buchbach have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Buchbach failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Buchbach have won 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Buchbach have scored in 8 of their 9 away matches.
Season Schedule
AubstadtWHVilzing2–0
Vilzing2–0DANürnberg II1–1
Nürnberg II1–1LASchwaben Augsburg1–2
Schwaben Augsburg1–2DHIllertissen0–0
Illertissen0–0DALandsberg2–2
Landsberg2–2LHMemmingen0–1
Memmingen0–1–AGreuther Fürth II07/11
Greuther Fürth II07/11–HEltersdorf14/11
Eltersdorf14/11–AFC Schweinfurt 0521/11
FC Schweinfurt 0521/11BuchbachLATSV 1860 München3–4
TSV 1860 München3–4DHWacker Burghausen3–3
Wacker Burghausen3–3LAIllertissen0–4
Illertissen0–4LHAugsburg II1–4
Augsburg II1–4DAVilzing1–1
Vilzing1–1LHEltersdorf0–2
Eltersdorf0–2–HGreuther Fürth II13/11
Greuther Fürth II13/11–HSchwaben Augsburg20/11
Schwaben Augsburg20/11–AEichstätt28/11
Eichstätt28/11Top Scorers
AubstadtS. Sturm5 ⚽
M. Grimm3 ⚽
J. Endres3 ⚽
F. Helmer2 ⚽
M. Fischer1 ⚽
M. Nickel1 ⚽
BuchbachT. Stossberger8 ⚽
S. Bahar8 ⚽
T. Heiland7 ⚽
A. Gashi3 ⚽
D. Muteba2 ⚽
L. Kainz2 ⚽
Cards Given
AubstadtM. Nickel1 🟨
Buchbach