Vanspor FK vs Bursaspor — 1. Lig
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Vanspor FK and Bursaspor meet in the 1. Lig 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Vanspor FK have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Bursaspor have won 69% of their 13 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.94 for Vanspor FK and 1.77 for Bursaspor. The models give Vanspor FK a 21% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Bursaspor win at 55%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Vanspor FK—
Bursaspor17º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.27
25%
Win %
73%
1.08
Goals / game
2.00
1.83
Conceded / game
0.82
50%
BTTS %
54%
8%
Clean sheet %
46%
50%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.5
Avg corners
5.3
10.1
Avg shots
14.7
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
14.1
Avg fouls
13.0
46.8%
Avg possession
60.4%
Home vs Away
Vanspor FK
Home (6)
—
Bursaspor
Away (6)
0.67
PPG
2.50
17%
Win %
83%
0.67
Goals / game
2.00
1.83
Conceded / game
0.83
33%
BTTS %
71%
0%
Clean sheet %
29%
17%
Over 2.5 %
86%
4.5
Avg corners
5.3
10.1
Avg shots
14.7
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
46.8%
Avg possession
60.4%
Goals Scored
| Vanspor FK | Home | Away | Bursaspor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 33% | 83% | 92% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 17% | 50% | 69% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 67% | 17% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Vanspor FK | Home | Away | Bursaspor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 100% | 83% | 54% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 83% | 50% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 0% | 17% | 46% | 67% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vanspor FK | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vanspor FK | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 62% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 15% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Vanspor FK (H)L
Ümraniyespor0–2
Ümraniyespor0–2L
Bandırmaspor0–2
Bandırmaspor0–2D
Keçiörengücü1–1
Keçiörengücü1–1L
Batman Petrolspor0–2
Batman Petrolspor0–2W
İstanbulspor3–2
İstanbulspor3–2L
Kayserispor0–2
Kayserispor0–2Bursaspor (A)W
Muğlaspor3–0
Muğlaspor3–0WBatman Petrolspor2–1
Batman Petrolspor2–1W
Manisa F.K.2–1
Manisa F.K.2–1WKayserispor2–1
Kayserispor2–1L
Fatih Karagümrük1–2
Fatih Karagümrük1–2W
Bodrum FK2–0
Bodrum FK2–0Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
8.6
107 games
8.8
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Vanspor FK | Bursaspor | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 78% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 44% | 36% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 22% | 20% |
| Over 11 | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 0% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vanspor FK | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 22% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Vanspor FK
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Bursaspor
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
04/12/24Vanspor FK
Bursaspor
2–2Vanspor FK04/05/24Vanspor FK
Bursaspor
3–0Vanspor FK25/12/23Bursaspor
Vanspor FK
3–0Bursaspor| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Iğdır FK | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Mardin 1969 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Antalyaspor | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Sarıyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 12 | Bodrum FK | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sivasspor | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Esenler Erokspor | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 | Vanspor FK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pendikspor | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -22 | 5 |
| 20 |  Boluspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Vanspor FK- ●Vanspor FK have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vanspor FK failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Vanspor FK have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vanspor FK failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Vanspor FK have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Vanspor FK failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vanspor FK have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Vanspor FK's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Vanspor FK's points have been earned away.
Bursaspor- ●Bursaspor have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bursaspor have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bursaspor have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●60% of Bursaspor's points have been earned away.
- ●Bursaspor have conceded 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vanspor FKWABoluspor3–0
Boluspor3–0LHÜmraniyespor0–2
Ümraniyespor0–2WAPendikspor2–1
Pendikspor2–1LHBandırmaspor0–2
Bandırmaspor0–2LAAntalyaspor0–3
Antalyaspor0–3DHKeçiörengücü1–1
Keçiörengücü1–1–HSarıyer31/10
Sarıyer31/10–HSivasspor07/11
Sivasspor07/11–ABodrum FK23/11
Bodrum FK23/11BursasporWHPendikspor2–0
Pendikspor2–0WAMuğlaspor3–0
Muğlaspor3–0LHMardin 19691–2
Mardin 19691–2WABatman Petrolspor2–1
Batman Petrolspor2–1DHEsenler Erokspor2–2
Esenler Erokspor2–2WAManisa F.K.2–1
Manisa F.K.2–1–AKeçiörengücü25/10
Keçiörengücü25/10–HBandırmaspor31/10
Bandırmaspor31/10–AAntalyaspor06/11
Antalyaspor06/11Top Scorers
Vanspor FKJurgen Bardhi3 ⚽
F. Ozhan1 ⚽
Hikmet Çiftçi1 ⚽
J. Bardhi1 ⚽
M. Manis1 ⚽
Mehmet Manis1 ⚽
BursasporKelechi Iheanacho9 ⚽
K. Iheanacho6 ⚽
Halil Akbunar2 ⚽
Hüseyin Maldar1 ⚽
Lincoln1 ⚽
A. Babacan1 ⚽
Cards Given
Vanspor FKİlkan Sever2 🟨
Mehmet Özcan2 🟨
Alvaro de Oliveira2 🟨
Faruk Can Genç1 🟨
K. Seven1 🟨
Ilias Alhaft1 🟨
BursasporJuergen Elitim2 🟨
Zeki Yavru2 🟨
Alperen Babacan2 🟨
A. Babacan2 🟨
B. Gok2 🟨
Halil Akbunar1 🟨