Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor — 1. Lig
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Aktepe Stadı·Ankara·Türkiye·4,883
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Keçiörengücü and Bursaspor meet in the 1. Lig 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Keçiörengücü have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Bursaspor have won 69% of their 13 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Keçiörengücü and 1.50 for Bursaspor. The models give Keçiörengücü a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bursaspor win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Keçiörengücü—
Bursaspor4º
Position
3º
1.82
PPG
2.27
45%
Win %
73%
1.91
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.82
58%
BTTS %
54%
42%
Clean sheet %
46%
42%
Over 2.5 %
69%
3.5
Avg corners
5.3
15.0
Avg shots
14.7
5.5
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.3
Avg fouls
13.0
45.0%
Avg possession
60.4%
Home vs Away
Keçiörengücü
Home (5)
—
Bursaspor
Away (6)
1.80
PPG
2.50
40%
Win %
83%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.80
Conceded / game
0.83
60%
BTTS %
71%
40%
Clean sheet %
29%
60%
Over 2.5 %
86%
3.5
Avg corners
5.3
15.0
Avg shots
14.7
5.5
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
45.0%
Avg possession
60.4%
Goals Scored
| Keçiörengücü | Home | Away | Bursaspor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 80% | 100% | 92% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 60% | 57% | 69% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 20% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Keçiörengücü | Home | Away | Bursaspor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 60% | 57% | 54% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 20% | 14% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 40% | 43% | 46% | 67% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Keçiörengücü | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS | 58% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Keçiörengücü | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 62% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 15% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Keçiörengücü (H)D
Iğdır FK0–0
Iğdır FK0–0D
Sivasspor1–1
Sivasspor1–1W
Sarıyer3–0
Sarıyer3–0D
Ümraniyespor2–2
Ümraniyespor2–2W
Pendikspor4–1
Pendikspor4–1W
Manisa F.K.2–1
Manisa F.K.2–1Bursaspor (A)W
Muğlaspor3–0
Muğlaspor3–0W
Batman Petrolspor2–1
Batman Petrolspor2–1WManisa F.K.2–1
Manisa F.K.2–1W
Kayserispor2–1
Kayserispor2–1L
Fatih Karagümrük1–2
Fatih Karagümrük1–2W
Bodrum FK2–0
Bodrum FK2–0Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
8.6
107 games
8.8
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Keçiörengücü | Bursaspor | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 78% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 18% | 44% | 36% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 22% | 20% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 0% | 13% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 0% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Keçiörengücü | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 82% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 22% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Keçiörengücü
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Bursaspor
50%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
02/04/22Bursaspor
Keçiörengücü
2–1Bursaspor01/11/21Keçiörengücü
Bursaspor
2–0Keçiörengücü09/05/21Keçiörengücü
Bursaspor
0–3Keçiörengücü02/01/21Bursaspor
Keçiörengücü
0–1Bursaspor20/06/20Bursaspor
Keçiörengücü
1–0Bursaspor23/11/19Keçiörengücü
Bursaspor
1–0Keçiörengücü| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 | Iğdır FK | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Mardin 1969 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Antalyaspor | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarıyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bandırmaspor | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 12 | Bodrum FK | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Esenler Erokspor | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 |  Vanspor FK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 | Pendikspor | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 |  İstanbulspor | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -22 | 5 |
| 20 |  Boluspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Keçiörengücü- ●Keçiörengücü have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Bursaspor- ●Bursaspor have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bursaspor have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bursaspor have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●60% of Bursaspor's points have been earned away.
- ●Bursaspor have conceded 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
KeçiörengücüWAFatih Karagümrük2–1
Fatih Karagümrük2–1DHIğdır FK0–0
Iğdır FK0–0WABodrum FK2–0
Bodrum FK2–0DHSivasspor1–1
Sivasspor1–1DAVanspor FK1–1
Vanspor FK1–1WHSarıyer3–0
Sarıyer3–0–HBursaspor25/10
Bursaspor25/10–AEsenler Erokspor30/10
Esenler Erokspor30/10–HManisa F.K.07/11
Manisa F.K.07/11BursasporWHPendikspor2–0
Pendikspor2–0WAMuğlaspor3–0
Muğlaspor3–0LHMardin 19691–2
Mardin 19691–2WABatman Petrolspor2–1
Batman Petrolspor2–1DHEsenler Erokspor2–2
Esenler Erokspor2–2WAManisa F.K.2–1
Manisa F.K.2–1–AKeçiörengücü25/10
Keçiörengücü25/10–HBandırmaspor31/10
Bandırmaspor31/10–AAntalyaspor06/11
Antalyaspor06/11Top Scorers
KeçiörengücüM. Diouf5 ⚽
Mame Biram Diouf2 ⚽
I. Akdag2 ⚽
H. Ayan2 ⚽
F. Ezeh2 ⚽
Halil Can Ayan1 ⚽
BursasporKelechi Iheanacho9 ⚽
K. Iheanacho6 ⚽
Halil Akbunar2 ⚽
Hüseyin Maldar1 ⚽
Lincoln1 ⚽
A. Babacan1 ⚽
Cards Given
KeçiörengücüI. Akdag4 🟨
İbrahim Akdağ3 🟨
Wellington Ferreira Nascimento2 🟨
Francis Ezeh2 🟨
Süleyman Lus2 🟨
O. Korkmaz2 🟨
BursasporJuergen Elitim2 🟨
Zeki Yavru2 🟨
Alperen Babacan2 🟨
A. Babacan2 🟨
B. Gok2 🟨
Halil Akbunar1 🟨