Hartlepool vs Southend — National League
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Hartlepool and Southend meet in the National League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Hartlepool have recorded 9 wins from 25 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Southend have won 41% of their 22 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 91%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Hartlepool and 1.74 for Southend. The models give Hartlepool a 28% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Southend win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Hartlepool—
Southend21º
Position
3º
0.94
PPG
1.81
31%
Win %
50%
1.13
Goals / game
2.38
1.69
Conceded / game
1.69
48%
BTTS %
91%
16%
Clean sheet %
9%
56%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
9.0
0.0
Avg shots
20.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
8.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
75.0%
Home vs Away
Hartlepool
Home (7)
—
Southend
Away (9)
1.29
PPG
1.78
43%
Win %
44%
0.86
Goals / game
2.56
1.00
Conceded / game
1.56
23%
BTTS %
100%
23%
Clean sheet %
0%
38%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
9.0
0.0
Avg shots
20.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
8.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
75.0%
Goals Scored
| Hartlepool | Home | Away | Southend | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 50% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 21% | 42% | 59% | 46% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 7% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Hartlepool | Home | Away | Southend | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 79% | 92% | 91% | 85% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 36% | 75% | 45% | 54% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 21% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 21% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hartlepool | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS | 50% | 91% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hartlepool | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Hartlepool (H)W
Leeds United U213–1
Leeds United U213–1W
AFC Hornchurch2–1
AFC Hornchurch2–1L
Marine0–2
Marine0–2L
Newcastle United U211–2
Newcastle United U211–2L
Tamworth0–1
Tamworth0–1L
Harrogate Town0–1
Harrogate Town0–1Southend (A)L
Wealdstone2–3
Wealdstone2–3D
Worthing3–3
Worthing3–3W
Boston United2–1
Boston United2–1D
Eastleigh1–1
Eastleigh1–1W
Gateshead6–1
Gateshead6–1D
Carlisle2–2
Carlisle2–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Hartlepool | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Hartlepool
20%
5
Draws
50%
3
Southend
30%
40%
Over 1.5
4/10
20%
Over 2.5
2/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
21/04/26Southend
Hartlepool
4–3Southend25/08/25Hartlepool
Southend
1–1Hartlepool14/12/24Hartlepool
Southend
0–0Hartlepool17/08/24Southend
Hartlepool
0–0Southend16/03/24Southend
Hartlepool
0–0Southend19/08/23Hartlepool
Southend
2–3Hartlepool06/04/15Southend
Hartlepool
0–1Southend15/11/14Hartlepool
Southend
1–0Hartlepool18/02/14Hartlepool
Southend
1–1Hartlepool10/08/13Southend
Hartlepool
0–1Southend| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 4 |
Team Insights
Hartlepool- ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Hartlepool have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hartlepool have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool have lost 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●67% of Hartlepool's goals have been scored away.
- ●74% of Hartlepool's goals conceded were conceded away.
Southend- ●Southend have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Southend have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Southend have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Southend have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have won 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
HartlepoolLABoreham Wood3–4
Boreham Wood3–4LAAFC Fylde1–3
AFC Fylde1–3WHAFC Hornchurch2–1
AFC Hornchurch2–1WAForest Green4–2
Forest Green4–2LHTamworth0–1
Tamworth0–1LHHarrogate Town0–1
Harrogate Town0–1–HWealdstone14/11
Wealdstone14/11–AGateshead21/11
Gateshead21/11–HSolihull Moors25/11
Solihull Moors25/11SouthendLAWealdstone2–3
Wealdstone2–3DAWorthing3–3
Worthing3–3DHFC Halifax Town2–2
FC Halifax Town2–2WABoston United2–1
Boston United2–1WHAFC Fylde3–1
AFC Fylde3–1DAEastleigh1–1
Eastleigh1–1–HAldershot Town14/11
Aldershot Town14/11–HBoreham Wood20/11
Boreham Wood20/11–AForest Green24/11
Forest Green24/11Top Scorers
HartlepoolW. Harris5 ⚽
J. Nolan4 ⚽
T. Bondo3 ⚽
C. McKeown3 ⚽
C. Popov3 ⚽
M. Kouogun3 ⚽
SouthendL. Chambers-Parillon9 ⚽
P. Omochere6 ⚽
H. Cardwell6 ⚽
S. Austin5 ⚽
R. Colclough4 ⚽
O. Coker3 ⚽
Cards Given
HartlepoolN. Eccleston9 🟨
R. McNally5 🟨
J. Hunter4 🟨
J. Miley3 🟨
C. John3 🟨
J. Hugill3 🟨
SouthendD. Oldaker6 🟨
V. Daley-Campbell5 🟨
P. Omochere3 🟨
D. Cox3 🟨
O. Coker2 🟨
A. Hartigan2 🟨