Worthing vs Harrogate Town — National League
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Worthing and Harrogate Town meet in the National League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Worthing have recorded 12 wins from 25 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Harrogate Town have won 71% of their 21 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Worthing and 1.31 for Harrogate Town. The models give Worthing a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Harrogate Town win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Worthing—
Harrogate Town4º
Position
2º
1.93
PPG
2.21
57%
Win %
71%
2.07
Goals / game
2.29
1.36
Conceded / game
1.29
68%
BTTS %
76%
28%
Clean sheet %
24%
72%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
7.0
0.0
Avg shots
22.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
57.0%
Home vs Away
Worthing
Home (7)
—
Harrogate Town
Away (6)
1.86
PPG
2.00
57%
Win %
67%
2.00
Goals / game
1.50
1.14
Conceded / game
1.33
54%
BTTS %
60%
46%
Clean sheet %
40%
69%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
7.0
0.0
Avg shots
22.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
57.0%
Goals Scored
| Worthing | Home | Away | Harrogate Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 92% | 92% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 46% | 67% | 67% | 91% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 15% | 25% | 33% | 55% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Worthing | Home | Away | Harrogate Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 54% | 92% | 76% | 91% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 38% | 42% | 29% | 36% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 46% | 8% | 24% | 9% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worthing | Harrogate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 14% |
| BTTS | 68% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 48% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worthing | Harrogate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 72% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 62% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Worthing (H)L
Ipswich Town U211–2
Ipswich Town U211–2W
Solihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0W
FC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1W
AFC Hornchurch1–0
AFC Hornchurch1–0D
Barrow2–2
Barrow2–2D
Norwich City U210–0
Norwich City U210–0Harrogate Town (A)D
Bury1–1
Bury1–1W
Woking1–0
Woking1–0W
Hartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0L
Boreham Wood1–4
Boreham Wood1–4W
Scunthorpe2–0
Scunthorpe2–0L
Aldershot Town1–3
Aldershot Town1–3Team Corners
| Team Corners | Worthing | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |  Southend | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 | FC Halifax Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Carlisle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 |  Sutton Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Worthing- ●Worthing have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Worthing have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Worthing have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Harrogate Town- ●Harrogate Town have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Harrogate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of Harrogate Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
WorthingWAKidderminster Harriers2–1
Kidderminster Harriers2–1WHSolihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0WAGateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1DAYeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1WHFC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1WAHartlepool3–1
Hartlepool3–1–HSouthend27/10
Southend27/10–HSutton Utd31/10
Sutton Utd31/10–AScunthorpe14/11
Scunthorpe14/11Harrogate TownWHSutton Utd3–1
Sutton Utd3–1WAWoking1–0
Woking1–0WHAFC Hornchurch3–0
AFC Hornchurch3–0WAHartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0WHEastleigh4–1
Eastleigh4–1LABoreham Wood1–4
Boreham Wood1–4–ACarlisle28/10
Carlisle28/10–AForest Green31/10
Forest Green31/10–HAltrincham14/11
Altrincham14/11Top Scorers
WorthingR. Coleman De-Graft7 ⚽
D. Hutchinson6 ⚽
R. Aguiar5 ⚽
C. Adjetey-Brew4 ⚽
J. Marquez3 ⚽
O. Godziemski2 ⚽
Harrogate TownB. Hobson8 ⚽
W. McGowan4 ⚽
J. Hmami4 ⚽
C. McGuckin3 ⚽
C. Heffernan3 ⚽
B. Dolaghan3 ⚽
Cards Given
WorthingJ. Wadham4 🟨
S. Packham3 🟨
D. Hutchinson3 🟨
J. Moore3 🟨
R. Aguiar3 🟨
J. Cook2 🟨
Harrogate TownJ. Hmami3 🟨
M. Williams3 🟨
L. Cass2 🟨
A. Baptiste2 🟨
L. Barnes2 🟨
S. McCoulsky2 🟨