Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch — National League
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Wealdstone and AFC Hornchurch meet in the National League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Wealdstone have recorded 12 wins from 27 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. AFC Hornchurch have won 50% of their 28 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Wealdstone and 1.57 for AFC Hornchurch. The models give Wealdstone a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an AFC Hornchurch win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Wealdstone—
AFC Hornchurch18º
Position
15º
1.13
PPG
1.31
31%
Win %
44%
1.44
Goals / game
1.13
1.81
Conceded / game
1.63
48%
BTTS %
46%
37%
Clean sheet %
36%
56%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Wealdstone
Home (8)
—
AFC Hornchurch
Away (9)
0.88
PPG
0.67
25%
Win %
22%
1.50
Goals / game
0.89
2.50
Conceded / game
2.44
47%
BTTS %
50%
41%
Clean sheet %
17%
65%
Over 2.5 %
92%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Wealdstone | Home | Away | AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 88% | 80% | 79% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 47% | 40% | 48% | 53% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 24% | 10% | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 12% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Wealdstone | Home | Away | AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 59% | 70% | 62% | 47% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 47% | 40% | 34% | 12% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 35% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 41% | 30% | 38% | 53% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Wealdstone | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS | 48% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 28% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Wealdstone | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Wealdstone (H)D
Derby County U212–2
Derby County U212–2W
Southend3–2
Southend3–2L
Solihull Moors2–3
Solihull Moors2–3W
Nottingham Forest U211–0
Nottingham Forest U211–0W
Worthing3–0
Worthing3–0L
Yeovil Town0–6
Yeovil Town0–6AFC Hornchurch (A)L
AFC Fylde1–3
AFC Fylde1–3L
Hartlepool1–2
Hartlepool1–2W
Uxbridge4–0
Uxbridge4–0L
Harrogate Town0–3
Harrogate Town0–3L
Altrincham0–3
Altrincham0–3LWorthing0–1
Worthing0–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Wealdstone
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
AFC Hornchurch
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
12/10/13Wealdstone
AFC Hornchurch
6–1Wealdstone| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 4 |
Team Insights
Wealdstone- ●Wealdstone have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Wealdstone failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Wealdstone have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Wealdstone failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Wealdstone have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Wealdstone have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●69% of Wealdstone's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●61% of Wealdstone's points have been earned away.
AFC Hornchurch- ●AFC Hornchurch have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●85% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
WealdstoneWHSouthend3–2
Southend3–2LHSolihull Moors2–3
Solihull Moors2–3WAAldershot Town1–0
Aldershot Town1–0LHYeovil Town0–6
Yeovil Town0–6LABarrow1–2
Barrow1–2DAForest Green1–1
Forest Green1–1–AHartlepool14/11
Hartlepool14/11–HAFC Hornchurch21/11
AFC Hornchurch21/11–AAltrincham24/11
Altrincham24/11AFC HornchurchLAAFC Fylde1–3
AFC Fylde1–3LHYeovil Town1–2
Yeovil Town1–2LAHartlepool1–2
Hartlepool1–2WHEastleigh2–0
Eastleigh2–0LAHarrogate Town0–3
Harrogate Town0–3WHAldershot Town2–1
Aldershot Town2–1–HTamworth14/11
Tamworth14/11–AWealdstone21/11
Wealdstone21/11–HSutton Utd24/11
Sutton Utd24/11Top Scorers
WealdstoneO. Olomola9 ⚽
F. Okenabirhie4 ⚽
A. Kaunda4 ⚽
L. Norris4 ⚽
M. Obiero4 ⚽
W. Waweru3 ⚽
AFC HornchurchH. Hearn5 ⚽
J. Kizzi4 ⚽
C. Pegrum4 ⚽
D. Poleon4 ⚽
B. Kelman4 ⚽
4 ⚽
Cards Given
WealdstoneD. Kadji8 🟨
K. Smith5 🟨
M. Barrett4 🟨
A. Kanu3 🟨
A. Henry3 🟨
J. Newton3 🟨
AFC HornchurchH. Sandat6 🟨
H. Hearn4 🟨
J. Walker3 🟨
T. Wraight3 🟨
F. Edwards2 🟨
A. Rowe2 🟨