Tamworth vs Eastleigh — National League
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Tamworth and Eastleigh meet in the National League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Tamworth have recorded 10 wins from 25 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 84% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 84%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Eastleigh have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Tamworth and 1.19 for Eastleigh. The models give Tamworth a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Eastleigh win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Tamworth—
Eastleigh20º
Position
15º
1.08
PPG
1.29
31%
Win %
36%
1.62
Goals / game
1.29
2.31
Conceded / game
1.57
84%
BTTS %
62%
12%
Clean sheet %
10%
84%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tamworth
Home (6)
—
Eastleigh
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
0.50
50%
Win %
17%
1.83
Goals / game
0.67
1.50
Conceded / game
1.83
85%
BTTS %
44%
15%
Clean sheet %
11%
77%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tamworth | Home | Away | Eastleigh | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 100% | 92% | 71% | 83% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 54% | 42% | 24% | 33% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 23% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 0% | 8% | 29% | 17% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Tamworth | Home | Away | Eastleigh | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 85% | 92% | 90% | 92% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 54% | 83% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 15% | 58% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 15% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tamworth | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 84% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 24% |
| BTTS | 84% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 80% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tamworth | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Tamworth (H)L
Barrow1–2
Barrow1–2W
Leeds United U211–0
Leeds United U211–0W
Sutton Utd2–0
Sutton Utd2–0W
Wealdstone2–1
Wealdstone2–1L
Middlesbrough U211–3
Middlesbrough U211–3D
Boston United2–2
Boston United2–2Eastleigh (A)L
AFC Hornchurch0–2
AFC Hornchurch0–2L
Harrogate Town1–4
Harrogate Town1–4LSutton Utd1–2
Sutton Utd1–2L
Altrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2W
Hartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0L
Kidderminster Harriers0–1
Kidderminster Harriers0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Tamworth
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Eastleigh
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
0%
Over 2.5
0/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
18/04/26Tamworth
Eastleigh
1–1Tamworth06/09/25Eastleigh
Tamworth
1–0Eastleigh29/03/25Eastleigh
Tamworth
2–0Eastleigh07/09/24Tamworth
Eastleigh
1–0Tamworth| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |  Southend | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 4 |  Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |  FC Halifax Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Carlisle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Tamworth- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Tamworth's goals conceded were conceded away.
Eastleigh- ●Eastleigh failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Eastleigh have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Eastleigh have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Eastleigh have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Eastleigh have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Eastleigh failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Eastleigh have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Eastleigh failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Eastleigh have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●78% of Eastleigh's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Eastleigh's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
TamworthLHBarrow1–2
Barrow1–2WAHartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0WHSutton Utd2–0
Sutton Utd2–0LAAldershot Town1–5
Aldershot Town1–5WHWealdstone2–1
Wealdstone2–1LASouthend1–3
Southend1–3–HScunthorpe27/10
Scunthorpe27/10–HWoking31/10
Woking31/10–AAFC Hornchurch14/11
AFC Hornchurch14/11EastleighWHBoston United4–2
Boston United4–2LAAFC Hornchurch0–2
AFC Hornchurch0–2LHWoking1–3
Woking1–3DHSouthend1–1
Southend1–1LAHarrogate Town1–4
Harrogate Town1–4WHCarlisle1–0
Carlisle1–0–AForest Green28/10
Forest Green28/10–ABarrow31/10
Barrow31/10–HAFC Fylde14/11
AFC Fylde14/11Top Scorers
TamworthK. Donnelly10 ⚽
J. Hutchinson5 ⚽
T. Kurtaran4 ⚽
D. Creaney4 ⚽
N. Tshikuna3 ⚽
T. McGlinchey3 ⚽
EastleighA. Blair8 ⚽
J. Lundstram3 ⚽
H. Ghandour2 ⚽
H. Sidwell2 ⚽
T. Eweka2 ⚽
D. Rankine1 ⚽
Cards Given
TamworthJ. Rye4 🟨
T. Kurtaran3 🟨
K. Donnelly3 🟨
J. Cullinane-Liburd3 🟨
L. Fairlamb3 🟨
B. Milnes2 🟨
EastleighT. Eweka4 🟨
A. Blair4 🟨
J. Cousins2 🟨
H. Sidwell2 🟨
R. Johnson2 🟨
T. Dobson-Ventura2 🟨