MatchPulse

AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth — National League

← Back
England · National League · Regular Season - 17
AFC Hornchurch
AFC Hornchurch
10º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Tamworth
Tamworth
20º · 1.08 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

AFC Hornchurch and Tamworth meet in the National League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. AFC Hornchurch have recorded 14 wins from 26 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Tamworth have won 40% of their 25 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 2.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 84%, Over 2.5 at 84%, and clean sheets at 12%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for AFC Hornchurch and 1.08 for Tamworth. The models give AFC Hornchurch a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tamworth win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

AFC Hornchurch
—
Tamworth
10º
Position
20º
1.50
PPG
1.08
50%
Win %
31%
1.14
Goals / game
1.62
1.50
Conceded / game
2.31
42%
BTTS %
84%
38%
Clean sheet %
12%
65%
Over 2.5 %
84%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

AFC Hornchurch
Home (6)
—
Tamworth
Away (7)
2.50
PPG
0.57
83%
Win %
14%
1.50
Goals / game
1.43
0.33
Conceded / game
3.00
40%
BTTS %
83%
53%
Clean sheet %
8%
47%
Over 2.5 %
92%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

AFC HornchurchHomeAwayTamworthHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored77%87%64%96%100%92%
Over 1.5 Scored50%53%45%48%54%42%
Over 2.5 Scored27%27%27%24%23%25%
Failed To Score23%13%36%4%0%8%

Goals Conceded

AFC HornchurchHomeAwayTamworthHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded62%47%82%88%85%92%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%7%64%68%54%83%
Over 2.5 Conceded19%0%45%36%15%58%
Clean Sheets38%53%18%12%15%8%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AFC HornchurchTamworth
Over 0.596%100%
Over 1.581%92%
Over 2.565%84%
Over 3.519%60%
Over 4.512%32%
BTTS42%84%
BTTS & Win19%28%
BTTS & Draw8%16%
BTTS & Over 2.535%80%
BTTS No & Over 2.531%4%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AFC HornchurchTamworth
Win 1st Half35%36%
Draw 1st Half35%28%
Loss 1st Half31%36%
Scored 1st Half50%60%
Conceded 1st Half46%60%
Win 2nd Half46%36%
Draw 2nd Half27%32%
Loss 2nd Half27%32%
Scored 2nd Half58%68%
Conceded 2nd Half38%68%
Over 0.5 HT77%88%
Over 1.5 HT31%48%

Recent Venue Form

AFC Hornchurch (H)
WEastleigh2–0
DFulham U211–1
WAldershot Town2–1
WScunthorpe1–0
WIpswich Town U213–0
LForest Green0–1
Tamworth (A)
LCarlisle1–2
WHartlepool1–0
LAldershot Town1–5
LSouthend1–3
LHarrogate Town1–3
LYeovil Town2–3
National League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood141220+2538
2Harrogate Town141013+1431
3Southend14842+1228
4Worthing14833+1027
5Altrincham14905+227
6Yeovil Town14743+1625
7AFC Fylde14725+223
8FC Halifax Town14635+721
9Barrow13634+621
10AFC Hornchurch14707-521
11Carlisle14554+420
12Kidderminster Harriers14554+220
13Woking14536+118
14Aldershot Town14536+118
15Eastleigh14536-418
16Sutton Utd14536-618
17Forest Green12435-315
18Wealdstone14437-615
19Hartlepool14509-615
20Tamworth13427-914
21Boston United14338-1012
22Scunthorpe13319-710
23Solihull Moors142111-237
24Gateshead131111-234

Team Insights

AFC Hornchurch
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●90% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Tamworth
  • ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
  • ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Tamworth have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Tamworth have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Tamworth have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●70% of Tamworth's goals conceded were conceded away.
AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch
LAHartlepool19º1–2
WAUxbridge4–0
WHEastleigh15º2–0
DHFulham U211–1
LAHarrogate Town2º0–3
WHAldershot Town14º2–1
LAAltrincham5º0–3
WHScunthorpe22º1–0
LAWorthing4º0–1
LAFC Halifax Town8º0–3
TamworthTamworth
LACarlisle1–2
LHBarrow9º1–2
WHLeeds United U211–0
WAHartlepool19º1–0
WHSutton Utd16º2–0
LAAldershot Town14º1–5
WHWealdstone18º2–1
LASouthend3º1–3
LAHarrogate Town2º1–3
LHMiddlesbrough U211–3

Season Schedule

AFC Hornchurch
LAHartlepool1–2
WHEastleigh2–0
LAHarrogate Town0–3
WHAldershot Town2–1
LAAltrincham0–3
WHScunthorpe1–0
–HYeovil Town27/10
–AAFC Fylde30/10
–HTamworth14/11
Tamworth
LHBarrow1–2
WAHartlepool1–0
WHSutton Utd2–0
LAAldershot Town1–5
WHWealdstone2–1
LASouthend1–3
–HScunthorpe27/10
–HWoking31/10
–AAFC Hornchurch14/11

Top Scorers

AFC Hornchurch
H. Hearn5 ⚽
4 ⚽
J. Kizzi4 ⚽
D. Poleon4 ⚽
B. Kelman4 ⚽
G. Alexander3 ⚽
Tamworth
K. Donnelly10 ⚽
J. Hutchinson5 ⚽
T. Kurtaran4 ⚽
D. Creaney4 ⚽
N. Tshikuna3 ⚽
T. McGlinchey3 ⚽

Cards Given

AFC Hornchurch
H. Sandat6 🟨
H. Hearn4 🟨
J. Walker3 🟨
T. Dallison2 🟨
A. Rowe2 🟨
T. Wraight2 🟨
Tamworth
J. Rye4 🟨
T. Kurtaran3 🟨
K. Donnelly3 🟨
J. Cullinane-Liburd3 🟨
L. Fairlamb3 🟨
B. Milnes2 🟨