Carlisle vs Boston United — National League
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Carlisle and Boston United meet in the National League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Carlisle have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Boston United have won 22% of their 23 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Carlisle and 1.65 for Boston United. The models give Carlisle a 53% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Boston United win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Carlisle—
Boston United11º
Position
21º
1.43
PPG
0.86
36%
Win %
21%
1.79
Goals / game
1.21
1.50
Conceded / game
1.93
72%
BTTS %
57%
17%
Clean sheet %
17%
61%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Carlisle
Home (7)
—
Boston United
Away (7)
1.29
PPG
1.14
29%
Win %
29%
2.14
Goals / game
1.57
2.00
Conceded / game
2.29
78%
BTTS %
67%
11%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Carlisle | Home | Away | Boston United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 78% | 89% | 70% | 64% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 67% | 56% | 35% | 21% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 22% | 33% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 22% | 11% | 30% | 36% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Carlisle | Home | Away | Boston United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 89% | 78% | 83% | 79% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 56% | 22% | 48% | 43% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 22% | 0% | 30% | 36% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 11% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carlisle | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 22% |
| BTTS | 72% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carlisle | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Carlisle (H)W
Tamworth2–1
Tamworth2–1D
Kidderminster Harriers0–0
Kidderminster Harriers0–0L
Woking2–5
Woking2–5D
Forest Green1–1
Forest Green1–1D
Southend2–2
Southend2–2W
Scunthorpe4–2
Scunthorpe4–2Boston United (A)L
Eastleigh2–4
Eastleigh2–4L
Yeovil Town0–6
Yeovil Town0–6D
FC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1WForest Green3–1
Forest Green3–1DTamworth2–2
Tamworth2–2L
Boreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2Head to Head · 3 matches
3
Carlisle
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Boston United
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
21/03/26Boston United
Carlisle
6–2Boston United22/11/25Carlisle
Boston United
1–2Carlisle11/10/25Boston United
Carlisle
5–2Boston United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 4 |  Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Yeovil Town | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 | FC Halifax Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 |  AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 |  Sutton Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Carlisle- ●Carlisle have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Carlisle have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Carlisle have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Carlisle's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Boston United- ●Boston United have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Boston United have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Boston United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Boston United have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Boston United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Boston United have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Boston United have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Boston United's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Boston United's points have been earned away.
- ●Boston United have scored 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CarlisleWASolihull Moors2–1
Solihull Moors2–1DHKidderminster Harriers0–0
Kidderminster Harriers0–0WAAldershot Town3–1
Aldershot Town3–1WAAFC Fylde2–0
AFC Fylde2–0LHWoking2–5
Woking2–5LAEastleigh0–1
Eastleigh0–1–HHarrogate Town28/10
Harrogate Town28/10–AAltrincham31/10
Altrincham31/10–HBoston United14/11
Boston United14/11Boston UnitedLAEastleigh2–4
Eastleigh2–4LHSouthend1–2
Southend1–2LAYeovil Town0–6
Yeovil Town0–6DAFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1LHAFC Fylde0–1
AFC Fylde0–1WAForest Green3–1
Forest Green3–1–HGateshead27/10
Gateshead27/10–HScunthorpe31/10
Scunthorpe31/10–ACarlisle14/11
Carlisle14/11Top Scorers
CarlisleR. Linney7 ⚽
G. Kelly4 ⚽
H. Bunker4 ⚽
D. Ajiboye4 ⚽
M. Azeez3 ⚽
M. Obiero2 ⚽
Boston UnitedK. Aboh5 ⚽
L. Wheeldon4 ⚽
T. Cursons4 ⚽
L. N. John-Lewis3 ⚽
J. Grimes2 ⚽
J. Rooney2 ⚽
Cards Given
CarlisleR. Linney4 🟨
B. Nicholson3 🟨
M. Azeez3 🟨
M. Feeney3 🟨
J. Ellis3 🟨
A. Desbois2 🟨
Boston UnitedJ. Rooney7 🟨
G. Holohan4 🟨
S. Sachdev4 🟨
T. Cursons3 🟨
N. Pozo3 🟨
C. Teale2 🟨