Worthing vs Sutton Utd — National League
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Worthing and Sutton Utd meet in the National League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Worthing have recorded 12 wins from 25 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Sutton Utd have won 44% of their 25 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Worthing and 1.17 for Sutton Utd. The models give Worthing a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sutton Utd win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Worthing—
Sutton Utd4º
Position
16º
1.93
PPG
1.29
57%
Win %
36%
2.07
Goals / game
1.07
1.36
Conceded / game
1.50
68%
BTTS %
52%
28%
Clean sheet %
28%
72%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Worthing
Home (7)
—
Sutton Utd
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.14
57%
Win %
29%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.14
Conceded / game
1.43
54%
BTTS %
44%
46%
Clean sheet %
33%
69%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Worthing | Home | Away | Sutton Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 92% | 92% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 46% | 67% | 40% | 44% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 15% | 25% | 16% | 19% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 8% | 8% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Worthing | Home | Away | Sutton Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 54% | 92% | 72% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 38% | 42% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 8% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 46% | 8% | 28% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worthing | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 12% |
| BTTS | 68% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worthing | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 72% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Worthing (H)L
Ipswich Town U211–2
Ipswich Town U211–2W
Solihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0W
FC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1W
AFC Hornchurch1–0
AFC Hornchurch1–0D
Barrow2–2
Barrow2–2D
Norwich City U210–0
Norwich City U210–0Sutton Utd (A)L
Harrogate Town1–3
Harrogate Town1–3D
Kidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1L
Tamworth0–2
Tamworth0–2DFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1LBarrow0–3
Barrow0–3W
Gateshead1–0
Gateshead1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Worthing
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Sutton Utd
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
24/01/17Worthing
Sutton Utd
3–2Worthing14/01/17Sutton Utd
Worthing
2–2Sutton Utd| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |  Southend | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 | FC Halifax Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Carlisle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Worthing- ●Worthing have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Worthing have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Worthing have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Sutton Utd- ●Sutton Utd have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Sutton Utd have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
WorthingWAKidderminster Harriers2–1
Kidderminster Harriers2–1WHSolihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0WAGateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1DAYeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1WHFC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1WAHartlepool3–1
Hartlepool3–1–HSouthend27/10
Southend27/10–HSutton Utd31/10
Sutton Utd31/10–AScunthorpe14/11
Scunthorpe14/11Sutton UtdLAHarrogate Town1–3
Harrogate Town1–3LHBoreham Wood0–2
Boreham Wood0–2DAKidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1LATamworth0–2
Tamworth0–2DHForest Green3–3
Forest Green3–3DAFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1–HAldershot Town28/10
Aldershot Town28/10–AWorthing31/10
Worthing31/10–HSolihull Moors14/11
Solihull Moors14/11Top Scorers
WorthingR. Coleman De-Graft7 ⚽
D. Hutchinson6 ⚽
R. Aguiar5 ⚽
C. Adjetey-Brew4 ⚽
J. Marquez3 ⚽
O. Godziemski2 ⚽
Sutton UtdT. Babalola7 ⚽
D. Ogbonna5 ⚽
E. Osadebe4 ⚽
S. Folarin4 ⚽
O. Mussa4 ⚽
B. Topalloj2 ⚽
Cards Given
WorthingJ. Wadham4 🟨
S. Packham3 🟨
D. Hutchinson3 🟨
J. Moore3 🟨
R. Aguiar3 🟨
J. Cook2 🟨
Sutton UtdJ. Taylor5 🟨
S. Folarin4 🟨
J. Knight3 🟨
D. Urpens3 🟨
E. Osadebe3 🟨
T. Babalola3 🟨