Altrincham vs Carlisle — National League
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Altrincham and Carlisle meet in the National League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Altrincham have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Carlisle have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Altrincham and 1.36 for Carlisle. The models give Altrincham a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Carlisle win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Altrincham | Home | Away | Carlisle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 89% | 73% | 83% | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 45% | 61% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 9% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 11% | 27% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Altrincham | Home | Away | Carlisle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 82% | 83% | 89% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 22% | 36% | 39% | 56% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 22% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Altrincham | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 28% |
| BTTS | 65% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Altrincham | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Altrincham | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +25 | 38 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 | |
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 27 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 27 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 25 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 21 | |
| 11 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 20 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 | |
| 14 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 18 | |
| 17 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 | |
| 18 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -6 | 15 | |
| 20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 | |
| 21 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 | |
| 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 10 | |
| 23 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Altrincham have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Altrincham have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Altrincham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Altrincham failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Altrincham have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●65% of Altrincham's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Altrincham have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Carlisle have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Carlisle have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Carlisle have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Carlisle's goals conceded were conceded at home.