AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch — National League
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AFC Fylde and AFC Hornchurch meet in the National League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. AFC Fylde have recorded 10 wins from 22 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. AFC Hornchurch have won 54% of their 26 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for AFC Fylde and 1.25 for AFC Hornchurch. The models give AFC Fylde a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an AFC Hornchurch win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| AFC Fylde | Home | Away | AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 80% | 83% | 77% | 87% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 60% | 58% | 50% | 53% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 10% | 33% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 20% | 17% | 23% | 13% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Fylde | Home | Away | AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 70% | 83% | 62% | 47% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 70% | 33% | 31% | 7% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 0% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 30% | 17% | 38% | 53% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Fylde | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 12% |
| BTTS | 59% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 31% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Fylde | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +25 | 38 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 | |
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 27 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 27 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 25 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 21 | |
| 11 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 20 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 | |
| 14 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 18 | |
| 17 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 | |
| 18 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -6 | 15 | |
| 20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 | |
| 21 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 | |
| 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 10 | |
| 23 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●AFC Fylde have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Fylde failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of AFC Fylde's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of AFC Fylde's points have been earned away.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●90% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.