Tamworth vs Scunthorpe — National League
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Tamworth and Scunthorpe meet in the National League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Tamworth have recorded 10 wins from 25 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 84% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 84%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Scunthorpe have won 39% of their 23 matches, with 1.96 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Tamworth and 1.31 for Scunthorpe. The models give Tamworth a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Scunthorpe win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Tamworth—
Scunthorpe20º
Position
22º
1.08
PPG
0.77
31%
Win %
23%
1.62
Goals / game
1.31
2.31
Conceded / game
1.85
84%
BTTS %
61%
12%
Clean sheet %
13%
84%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tamworth
Home (6)
—
Scunthorpe
Away (7)
1.67
PPG
0.43
50%
Win %
14%
1.83
Goals / game
0.86
1.50
Conceded / game
2.00
85%
BTTS %
46%
15%
Clean sheet %
15%
77%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tamworth | Home | Away | Scunthorpe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 100% | 92% | 74% | 90% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 54% | 42% | 57% | 60% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 23% | 25% | 26% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 0% | 8% | 26% | 10% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Tamworth | Home | Away | Scunthorpe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 85% | 92% | 87% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 54% | 83% | 48% | 40% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 15% | 58% | 22% | 10% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 15% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tamworth | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 84% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 26% |
| BTTS | 84% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 80% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tamworth | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 74% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Tamworth (H)L
Barrow1–2
Barrow1–2W
Leeds United U211–0
Leeds United U211–0W
Sutton Utd2–0
Sutton Utd2–0W
Wealdstone2–1
Wealdstone2–1L
Middlesbrough U211–3
Middlesbrough U211–3D
Boston United2–2
Boston United2–2Scunthorpe (A)WBoston United3–1
Boston United3–1L
AFC Fylde0–2
AFC Fylde0–2LBarrow0–3
Barrow0–3L
AFC Hornchurch0–1
AFC Hornchurch0–1WSutton Utd2–0
Sutton Utd2–0L
Carlisle2–4
Carlisle2–4Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Tamworth
25%
0
Draws
0%
3
Scunthorpe
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
06/12/25Tamworth
Scunthorpe
3–1Tamworth09/08/25Scunthorpe
Tamworth
1–2Scunthorpe30/01/24Tamworth
Scunthorpe
0–1Tamworth05/08/23Scunthorpe
Tamworth
1–2Scunthorpe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |  Southend | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 4 |  Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |  FC Halifax Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Tamworth- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Tamworth's goals conceded were conceded away.
Scunthorpe- ●Scunthorpe have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Scunthorpe have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Scunthorpe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Scunthorpe have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Scunthorpe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Scunthorpe have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Scunthorpe failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Scunthorpe failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Scunthorpe have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Scunthorpe's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
TamworthLHBarrow1–2
Barrow1–2WAHartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0WHSutton Utd2–0
Sutton Utd2–0LAAldershot Town1–5
Aldershot Town1–5WHWealdstone2–1
Wealdstone2–1LASouthend1–3
Southend1–3–HScunthorpe27/10
Scunthorpe27/10–HWoking31/10
Woking31/10–AAFC Hornchurch14/11
AFC Hornchurch14/11ScunthorpeLHWoking2–3
Woking2–3LAAFC Fylde0–2
AFC Fylde0–2LABarrow0–3
Barrow0–3WHHartlepool4–1
Hartlepool4–1LAAFC Hornchurch0–1
AFC Hornchurch0–1LHBoreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2–ATamworth27/10
Tamworth27/10–ABoston United31/10
Boston United31/10–HWorthing14/11
Worthing14/11Top Scorers
TamworthK. Donnelly10 ⚽
J. Hutchinson5 ⚽
T. Kurtaran4 ⚽
D. Creaney4 ⚽
N. Tshikuna3 ⚽
T. McGlinchey3 ⚽
ScunthorpeJ. Gale7 ⚽
L. Brennan6 ⚽
K. Hurst4 ⚽
P. Jones3 ⚽
D. Howe3 ⚽
H. Parker2 ⚽
Cards Given
TamworthJ. Rye4 🟨
T. Kurtaran3 🟨
K. Donnelly3 🟨
J. Cullinane-Liburd3 🟨
L. Fairlamb3 🟨
B. Milnes2 🟨
ScunthorpeJ. Rowley4 🟨
S. Ashbee4 🟨
J. Gale4 🟨
W. Evans3 🟨
J. Butterfield3 🟨
A. Beestin2 🟨