AFC Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town — National League
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Hornchurch Stadium·London·England·3,800
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AFC Hornchurch and Yeovil Town meet in the National League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. AFC Hornchurch have recorded 14 wins from 26 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Yeovil Town have won 45% of their 22 matches, with 2.36 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for AFC Hornchurch and 1.27 for Yeovil Town. The models give AFC Hornchurch a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Yeovil Town win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
AFC Hornchurch—
Yeovil Town10º
Position
6º
1.50
PPG
1.79
50%
Win %
50%
1.14
Goals / game
2.36
1.50
Conceded / game
1.21
42%
BTTS %
77%
38%
Clean sheet %
23%
65%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
AFC Hornchurch
Home (6)
—
Yeovil Town
Away (6)
2.50
PPG
1.83
83%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
2.17
0.33
Conceded / game
1.00
40%
BTTS %
82%
53%
Clean sheet %
18%
47%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | Yeovil Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 87% | 64% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 53% | 45% | 55% | 45% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 27% | 27% | 36% | 45% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 13% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | Yeovil Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 47% | 82% | 77% | 73% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 7% | 64% | 41% | 45% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 45% | 18% | 9% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 53% | 18% | 23% | 27% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Hornchurch | Yeovil Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 45% |
| BTTS | 42% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Hornchurch | Yeovil Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Hornchurch (H)W
Eastleigh2–0
Eastleigh2–0D
Fulham U211–1
Fulham U211–1W
Aldershot Town2–1
Aldershot Town2–1W
Scunthorpe1–0
Scunthorpe1–0W
Ipswich Town U213–0
Ipswich Town U213–0L
Forest Green0–1
Forest Green0–1Yeovil Town (A)D
Leatherhead3–3
Leatherhead3–3W
Wealdstone6–0
Wealdstone6–0W
Kidderminster Harriers1–0
Kidderminster Harriers1–0DAldershot Town1–1
Aldershot Town1–1L
Southend2–3
Southend2–3W
Barrow2–1
Barrow2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 4 |  Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Yeovil Town | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |  FC Halifax Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Carlisle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 |  Sutton Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
AFC Hornchurch- ●AFC Hornchurch have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●90% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Yeovil Town- ●Yeovil Town have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Yeovil Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Yeovil Town have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Yeovil Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Yeovil Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Yeovil Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Yeovil Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Yeovil Town have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Yeovil Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Yeovil Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
AFC HornchurchLAHartlepool1–2
Hartlepool1–2WHEastleigh2–0
Eastleigh2–0LAHarrogate Town0–3
Harrogate Town0–3WHAldershot Town2–1
Aldershot Town2–1LAAltrincham0–3
Altrincham0–3WHScunthorpe1–0
Scunthorpe1–0–HYeovil Town27/10
Yeovil Town27/10–AAFC Fylde30/10
AFC Fylde30/10–HTamworth14/11
Tamworth14/11Yeovil TownLHAltrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2WAWealdstone6–0
Wealdstone6–0WHBoston United6–0
Boston United6–0DHWorthing1–1
Worthing1–1WAKidderminster Harriers1–0
Kidderminster Harriers1–0WHSolihull Moors4–1
Solihull Moors4–1–AAFC Hornchurch27/10
AFC Hornchurch27/10–AFC Halifax Town31/10
FC Halifax Town31/10–HBoreham Wood14/11
Boreham Wood14/11Top Scorers
AFC HornchurchH. Hearn5 ⚽
4 ⚽
J. Kizzi4 ⚽
D. Poleon4 ⚽
B. Kelman4 ⚽
G. Alexander3 ⚽
Yeovil TownJ. Powell8 ⚽
L. McCormick6 ⚽
B. McGavin5 ⚽
M. Obeng4 ⚽
R. Jones3 ⚽
S. Walker3 ⚽
Cards Given
AFC HornchurchH. Sandat6 🟨
H. Hearn4 🟨
J. Walker3 🟨
T. Dallison2 🟨
A. Rowe2 🟨
T. Wraight2 🟨
Yeovil TownB. Radcliffe5 🟨
J. Gubbins5 🟨
J. Norville-Williams4 🟨
Z. Westbrooke2 🟨
H. Muller2 🟨
J. Daly2 🟨