Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe — Süper Lig
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Başakşehir and Fenerbahçe meet in the Süper Lig 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Başakşehir have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Fenerbahçe have won 57% of their 23 matches, with 2.09 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Başakşehir and 1.40 for Fenerbahçe. The models give Başakşehir a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Fenerbahçe win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Başakşehir—
Fenerbahçe9º
Position
4º
1.33
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
2.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
61%
BTTS %
48%
22%
Clean sheet %
48%
44%
Over 2.5 %
61%
5.1
Avg corners
5.5
14.0
Avg shots
15.5
4.7
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.4
14.0
Avg fouls
12.4
53.2%
Avg possession
54.5%
Home vs Away
Başakşehir
Home (2)
—
Fenerbahçe
Away (2)
2.00
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
78%
BTTS %
42%
22%
Clean sheet %
50%
44%
Over 2.5 %
58%
5.1
Avg corners
5.5
14.0
Avg shots
15.5
4.7
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.4
53.2%
Avg possession
54.5%
Goals Scored
| Başakşehir | Home | Away | Fenerbahçe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 100% | 56% | 91% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 56% | 22% | 52% | 55% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 22% | 0% | 26% | 36% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 0% | 44% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Başakşehir | Home | Away | Fenerbahçe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 78% | 78% | 52% | 55% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 22% | 56% | 30% | 36% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 11% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 22% | 22% | 48% | 45% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Başakşehir | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS | 61% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Başakşehir | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Başakşehir (H)W
Samsunspor5–2
Samsunspor5–2W
Gaziantep FK2–1
Gaziantep FK2–1W
Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0L
Galatasaray2–3
Galatasaray2–3D
Kasımpaşa1–1
Kasımpaşa1–1W
Kocaelispor2–0
Kocaelispor2–0Fenerbahçe (A)LGalatasaray1–2
Galatasaray1–2L
Aston Villa0–6
Aston Villa0–6W
Rizespor3–0
Rizespor3–0W
Turan2–0
Turan2–0DGaziantep FK0–0
Gaziantep FK0–0WSamsunspor2–0
Samsunspor2–0Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.5
90 games
10.2
Corners / Match
19 games
| Match Corners | Başakşehir | Fenerbahçe | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 84% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 68% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 58% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 53% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 8% | 53% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 47% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 37% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 21% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Başakşehir | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 53% |
Head to Head · 32 matches
9
Başakşehir
28%
5
Draws
16%
18
Fenerbahçe
56%
78%
Over 1.5
25/32
56%
Over 2.5
18/32
34%
Over 3.5
11/32
56%
BTTS
18/32
02/05/26Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
3–1Başakşehir06/12/25Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–1Fenerbahçe09/05/25Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–4Fenerbahçe15/12/24Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
3–1Başakşehir24/01/24Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
0–1Fenerbahçe28/09/23Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
4–0Başakşehir11/06/23Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
2–0Başakşehir19/04/23Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–2Fenerbahçe22/10/22Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
1–0Başakşehir05/02/22Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
0–1Başakşehir19/09/21Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
2–0Fenerbahçe18/04/21Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–2Fenerbahçe09/02/21Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
1–2Başakşehir23/12/20Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
4–1Başakşehir25/01/20Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
2–0Başakşehir24/08/19Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–2Fenerbahçe09/03/19Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
2–1Fenerbahçe07/10/18Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
0–0Başakşehir11/02/18Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
0–2Fenerbahçe09/09/17Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
2–3Başakşehir| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Amed | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 16 |
| 7 |  Çorum FK | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Göztepe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Erzurumspor FK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 |  Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Gaziantep FK | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -25 | 3 |
Team Insights
Başakşehir- ●Başakşehir have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Başakşehir have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Başakşehir failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Başakşehir have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●94% of Başakşehir's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Başakşehir's points have been earned at home.
Fenerbahçe- ●Fenerbahçe have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fenerbahçe have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fenerbahçe have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Fenerbahçe's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Fenerbahçe have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BaşakşehirWHSamsunspor5–2
Samsunspor5–2LABeşiktaş0–2
Beşiktaş0–2WHGaziantep FK2–1
Gaziantep FK2–1DAKonyaspor0–0
Konyaspor0–0WHGençlerbirliği S.K.4–0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0LAAmed0–5
Amed0–5–AGöztepe07/11
Göztepe07/11–HÇorum FK23/11
Çorum FK23/11–AEyüpspor29/11
Eyüpspor29/11FenerbahçeLHGöztepe1–2
Göztepe1–2LAGalatasaray1–2
Galatasaray1–2WHAlanyaspor3–0
Alanyaspor3–0WARizespor3–0
Rizespor3–0WHEyüpspor8–0
Eyüpspor8–0DAGaziantep FK0–0
Gaziantep FK0–0–AÇorum FK08/11
Çorum FK08/11–AKocaelispor21/11
Kocaelispor21/11–HErzurumspor FK29/11
Erzurumspor FK29/11Top Scorers
BaşakşehirE. Shomurodov7 ⚽
A. Skov Olsen2 ⚽
B. Yildirim2 ⚽
A. Fayzullaev2 ⚽
D. Selke2 ⚽
E. Bayram2 ⚽
FenerbahçeV. Muriqi8 ⚽
M. Greenwood6 ⚽
Talisca5 ⚽
I. Kahveci4 ⚽
M. Asensio2 ⚽
C. Under2 ⚽
Cards Given
BaşakşehirU. Gunes3 🟨
O. Kemen3 🟨
O. Ba3 🟨
C. Operi1 🟨
H. Gureler1 🟨
Davie Selke1 🟨
FenerbahçeN. Semedo4 🟨
M. Guendouzi4 🟨
M. Skriniar3 🟨
N. Kante3 🟨
K. Akturkoglu2 🟨
Ismail Yüksek2 🟨