Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg — 3. Liga
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Rot-Weiß Essen and MSV Duisburg meet in the 3. Liga 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Rot-Weiß Essen have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 2.19 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. MSV Duisburg have won 55% of their 20 matches, with 2.15 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 1.76 for MSV Duisburg. The models give Rot-Weiß Essen a 42% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an MSV Duisburg win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Rot-Weiß Essen—
MSV Duisburg3º
Position
2º
2.00
PPG
2.17
58%
Win %
67%
1.67
Goals / game
2.58
1.08
Conceded / game
1.42
43%
BTTS %
75%
43%
Clean sheet %
20%
57%
Over 2.5 %
75%
5.0
Avg corners
4.0
14.7
Avg shots
10.5
4.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
16.0
Avg fouls
11.0
52.9%
Avg possession
47.7%
Home vs Away
Rot-Weiß Essen
Home (6)
—
MSV Duisburg
Away (6)
2.67
PPG
2.00
83%
Win %
67%
2.00
Goals / game
2.67
0.50
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
75%
50%
Clean sheet %
17%
40%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.0
Avg corners
4.0
14.7
Avg shots
10.5
4.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
52.9%
Avg possession
47.7%
Goals Scored
| Rot-Weiß Essen | Home | Away | MSV Duisburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 100% | 64% | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 40% | 55% | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 20% | 27% | 45% | 50% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 0% | 36% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Rot-Weiß Essen | Home | Away | MSV Duisburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 64% | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 30% | 45% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 36% | 15% | 38% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 36% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rot-Weiß Essen | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 40% |
| BTTS | 43% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rot-Weiß Essen | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 52% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Rot-Weiß Essen (H)L
RB Leipzig1–2
RB Leipzig1–2W
SSV Jahn Regensburg1–0
SSV Jahn Regensburg1–0W
Fortuna Köln2–0
Fortuna Köln2–0D
Hansa Rostock1–1
Hansa Rostock1–1W
Würzburger Kickers6–2
Würzburger Kickers6–2W
FC Viktoria Köln1–0
FC Viktoria Köln1–0MSV Duisburg (A)L
FC Ingolstadt 041–2
FC Ingolstadt 041–2W
FC Saarbrücken4–2
FC Saarbrücken4–2W
SV Wehen4–1
SV Wehen4–1L
Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2
Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2WSSV Jahn Regensburg2–1
SSV Jahn Regensburg2–1W
Verl4–2
Verl4–2Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.7
91 games
7.2
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Rot-Weiß Essen | MSV Duisburg | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 60% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 30% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 10% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 10% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 0% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rot-Weiß Essen | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 58% | 20% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Rot-Weiß Essen
50%
3
Draws
50%
0
MSV Duisburg
0%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
83%
BTTS
5/6
04/04/26MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
1–0MSV Duisburg26/10/25Rot-Weiß Essen
MSV Duisburg
1–1Rot-Weiß Essen07/04/24MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
4–1MSV Duisburg28/10/23Rot-Weiß Essen
MSV Duisburg
1–2Rot-Weiß Essen05/02/23MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
1–1MSV Duisburg05/08/22Rot-Weiß Essen
MSV Duisburg
2–2Rot-Weiß Essen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoria Köln | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 26 |
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 26 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Alemannia Aachen | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 6 | SV Wehen | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Waldhof Mannheim | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Hoffenheim II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Hansa Rostock | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  SV Meppen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 |  Stuttgart II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 |  Preußen Münster | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Würzburger Kickers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 13 |
| 17 | Verl | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 |  SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 12 |
| 19 | Fortuna Köln | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 20 |  Havelse | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
Team Insights
Rot-Weiß Essen- ●Rot-Weiß Essen have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Rot-Weiß Essen have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Rot-Weiß Essen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rot-Weiß Essen have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rot-Weiß Essen have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Rot-Weiß Essen have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rot-Weiß Essen have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●77% of Rot-Weiß Essen's goals conceded were conceded away.
MSV Duisburg- ●MSV Duisburg have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Rot-Weiß EssenWASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1–0
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1–0WHSSV Jahn Regensburg1–0
SSV Jahn Regensburg1–0LAFC Ingolstadt 040–1
FC Ingolstadt 040–1WHFortuna Köln2–0
Fortuna Köln2–0DAPreußen Münster3–3
Preußen Münster3–3DHHansa Rostock1–1
Hansa Rostock1–1–HAlemannia Aachen07/11
Alemannia Aachen07/11–AVerl21/11
Verl21/11–HHoffenheim II28/11
Hoffenheim II28/11MSV DuisburgDHStuttgart II3–3
Stuttgart II3–3LAFC Ingolstadt 041–2
FC Ingolstadt 041–2DHFC Viktoria Köln1–1
FC Viktoria Köln1–1WAFC Saarbrücken4–2
FC Saarbrücken4–2WHHoffenheim II3–2
Hoffenheim II3–2WASV Wehen4–1
SV Wehen4–1–APreußen Münster07/11
Preußen Münster07/11–HHansa Rostock22/11
Hansa Rostock22/11–ASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach28/11
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach28/11Top Scorers
Rot-Weiß EssenM. Janssen7 ⚽
Semir telalovic4 ⚽
Marek Janssen3 ⚽
S. Telalovic3 ⚽
Lucas Brumme3 ⚽
J. Cuber Potocnik2 ⚽
MSV DuisburgL. Lobinger6 ⚽
Peter Remmert5 ⚽
F. Kruger4 ⚽
Lex-Tyger Lobinger3 ⚽
Dominik Kother3 ⚽
P. Remmert3 ⚽
Cards Given
Rot-Weiß EssenMarek Janssen4 🟨
Janne sietan4 🟨
J. Hofmann3 🟨
Franci Clarck Bouebari Kitsamoutse3 🟨
Dickson Abiama2 🟨
B. Huning2 🟨
MSV DuisburgLex-Tyger Lobinger3 🟨
Rasim Bulic3 🟨
Can Coskun2 🟨
Aljaž Casar2 🟨
Peter Remmert2 🟨
T. Fleckstein2 🟨