MatchPulse

Piratas vs Tapatío — Liga de Expansión MX

← Back
Piratas
Piratas
3º · 2.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 23h
vs
–
–
Tapatío
Tapatío
10º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 13d 22h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Piratas and Tapatío meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Piratas have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Tapatío have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.00 for Piratas and 1.19 for Tapatío. The models give Piratas a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tapatío win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Piratas
—
Tapatío
3º
Position
10º
2.33
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
0.00
Conceded / game
1.00
36%
BTTS %
64%
43%
Clean sheet %
21%
57%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Piratas
Home (1)
—
Tapatío
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
0.00
100%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.00
Conceded / game
3.00
33%
BTTS %
71%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

PiratasHomeAwayTapatíoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%83%63%79%86%71%
Over 1.5 Scored50%67%38%50%57%43%
Over 2.5 Scored36%50%25%29%43%14%
Failed To Score29%17%38%21%14%29%

Goals Conceded

PiratasHomeAwayTapatíoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded57%50%63%79%57%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded21%0%38%57%43%71%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%0%25%43%29%57%
Clean Sheets43%50%38%21%43%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

PiratasTapatío
Over 0.593%93%
Over 1.579%79%
Over 2.557%71%
Over 3.529%71%
Over 4.521%50%
BTTS36%64%
BTTS & Win14%21%
BTTS & Draw14%7%
BTTS & Over 2.521%57%
BTTS No & Over 2.536%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

PiratasTapatío
Win 1st Half43%29%
Draw 1st Half36%43%
Loss 1st Half21%29%
Scored 1st Half57%57%
Conceded 1st Half43%57%
Win 2nd Half43%21%
Draw 2nd Half43%36%
Loss 2nd Half14%43%
Scored 2nd Half50%57%
Conceded 2nd Half29%64%
Over 0.5 HT79%79%
Over 1.5 HT36%50%

Recent Venue Form

Piratas (H)
WTepatitlán3–0
WAlebrijes de Oaxaca4–0
WVenados FC2–1
WCorrecaminos Uat4–1
LCancún0–1
WMonarcas1–0
Tapatío (A)
LDurango0–5
LCancún0–1
LDorados1–3
DAlebrijes de Oaxaca1–1
WCorrecaminos Uat3–2
LVenados FC2–3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz13733+1324
2Leones Negros UDG13733+1024
3Monarcas13724+823
4Cancún14644+822
5Piratas13634+721
6Venados FC13634+521
7Durango13634+521
8Alebrijes de Oaxaca14617-1119
9Mineros de Zacatecas13535+318
10Tapatío13526-217
11Dorados13445-116
12Correcaminos Uat13445-116
13Tlaxcala13445-216
14CDS Tampico Madero13436-615
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo14356-514
16Tepatitlán142111-317

Team Insights

Piratas
  • ●Piratas have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Piratas have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Piratas have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Piratas have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Piratas have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Piratas have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Piratas have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●79% of Piratas's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Piratas have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Tapatío
  • ●Tapatío have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Tapatío have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Tapatío have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Tapatío have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Tapatío have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●70% of Tapatío's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●76% of Tapatío's points have been earned at home.
WADorados8º5–0
WADorados11º5–0
WHTepatitlán16º3–0
WHTepatitlán16º3–0
LATlaxcala15º2–4
LATlaxcala13º2–4
LADurango6º0–5
LADurango7º0–5
WHTepatitlán16º4–1
WHTepatitlán16º4–1
LHCA La Paz11º2–4
LHCA La Paz1º2–4
LACancún14º0–1
LACancún4º0–1
WHTlaxcala15º4–0
WHTlaxcala13º4–0

Season Schedule

Piratas
WADorados5–0
WHTepatitlán3–0
LATlaxcala2–4
WHAlebrijes de Oaxaca4–0
LAMineros de Zacatecas0–3
WHVenados FC2–1
–HTapatío01/11
Tapatío
LADurango0–5
WHTepatitlán4–1
LHCA La Paz2–4
LACancún0–1
WHTlaxcala4–0
LADorados1–3
–HMonarcas25/10
–APiratas01/11

Top Scorers

Piratas
O. Soto5 ⚽
I. Doumbouya3 ⚽
D. Cruz3 ⚽
D. Lajud Martinez3 ⚽
U. Garcia2 ⚽
J. Clemente2 ⚽
Tapatío
V. Moragrega6 ⚽
D. Villaseca5 ⚽
G. Garcia3 ⚽
J. Hernandez3 ⚽
C. Medina2 ⚽
C. Soldati1 ⚽

Cards Given

Piratas
O. Soto7 🟨
U. Garcia5 🟨
D. Cruz5 🟨
A. Lopez5 🟨
R. Palomares4 🟨
B. Figueroa3 🟨
Tapatío
M. Cendejas3 🟨
S. Esparza3 🟨
L. Jimenez3 🟨
C. Soldati3 🟨
R. Parra3 🟨
G. Garcia2 🟨