Piratas vs Tapatío — Liga de Expansión MX
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Piratas and Tapatío meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Piratas have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Tapatío have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.00 for Piratas and 1.19 for Tapatío. The models give Piratas a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tapatío win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Piratas | Home | Away | Tapatío | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 83% | 63% | 79% | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 38% | 50% | 57% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 25% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 17% | 38% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Piratas | Home | Away | Tapatío | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 63% | 79% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 38% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 38% | 21% | 43% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Piratas | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 50% |
| BTTS | 36% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 36% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Piratas | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 23 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 21 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 19 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 17 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 | |
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 | |
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 | |
| 16 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Piratas have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Piratas have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Piratas have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Piratas have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Piratas have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Piratas have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Piratas have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●79% of Piratas's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Piratas have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tapatío have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tapatío have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Tapatío have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tapatío have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Tapatío have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Tapatío's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Tapatío's points have been earned at home.

