CA La Paz vs Dorados — Liga de Expansión MX
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Estadio Guaycura·La Paz·Mexico·3,000
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CA La Paz and Dorados meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 31 October 2026. CA La Paz have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Dorados have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for CA La Paz and 1.37 for Dorados. The models give CA La Paz a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Dorados win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
CA La Paz—
Dorados11º
Position
8º
1.00
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
50%
2.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
73%
BTTS %
71%
20%
Clean sheet %
7%
80%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
CA La Paz
Home (1)
—
Dorados
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
0.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
57%
BTTS %
83%
29%
Clean sheet %
17%
57%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| CA La | Home | Away | Dorados | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 86% | 100% | 79% | 63% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 80% | 57% | 100% | 57% | 38% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 13% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 14% | 0% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| CA La | Home | Away | Dorados | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 71% | 88% | 93% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 29% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CA La | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS | 73% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CA La | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 79% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
CA La (H)D
Tlaxcala2–2
Tlaxcala2–2L
Venados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2W
Correcaminos Uat3–1
Correcaminos Uat3–1W
Mineros de Zacatecas3–0
Mineros de Zacatecas3–0D
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1W
Piratas2–0
Piratas2–0Dorados (A)WCorrecaminos Uat2–1
Correcaminos Uat2–1L
Leones Negros UDG3–6
Leones Negros UDG3–6D
CDS Tampico Madero1–1
CDS Tampico Madero1–1W
Tepatitlán4–1
Tepatitlán4–1LVenados FC2–4
Venados FC2–4W
Alebrijes de Oaxaca2–0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca2–0Head to Head · 8 matches
3
CA La
38%
3
Draws
38%
2
Dorados
25%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
08/02/26CA La Paz
Dorados
2–2CA La Paz30/08/25Dorados
CA La Paz
3–1Dorados12/04/25Dorados
CA La Paz
0–0Dorados27/10/24CA La Paz
Dorados
4–0CA La Paz23/02/24Dorados
CA La Paz
1–0Dorados31/07/23CA La Paz
Dorados
3–4CA La Paz22/03/23Dorados
CA La Paz
1–1Dorados20/07/22CA La Paz
Dorados
1–0CA La Paz| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Cancún | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 7 |  Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 8 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 19 |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 7 |
Team Insights
CA La- ●CA La Paz have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●CA La Paz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of CA La Paz's goals have been scored away.
Dorados- ●Dorados failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Dorados have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Dorados have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Dorados failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Dorados failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dorados have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Dorados failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Dorados have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Dorados failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dorados have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dorados have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Dorados's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
CA LaWACDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1DHTlaxcala2–2
Tlaxcala2–2WATapatío4–2
Tapatío4–2LHVenados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2WAAlebrijes de Oaxaca3–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca3–1WHCorrecaminos Uat3–1
Correcaminos Uat3–1–HDorados31/10
Dorados31/10DoradosLHPiratas0–5
Piratas0–5WACorrecaminos Uat2–1
Correcaminos Uat2–1LHCruz Azul Hidalgo1–3
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–3LALeones Negros UDG3–6
Leones Negros UDG3–6LHDurango0–1
Durango0–1DACDS Tampico Madero1–1
CDS Tampico Madero1–1–ACA La Paz31/10
CA La Paz31/10Top Scorers
CA LaM. Barragan10 ⚽
A. Robles7 ⚽
U. Jaimes5 ⚽
J. Ferrer3 ⚽
U. Zurita Jimenez2 ⚽
E. Torres2 ⚽
DoradosO. Coronel6 ⚽
F. Pena3 ⚽
J. Rengifo3 ⚽
L. Vargas3 ⚽
B. Ordorica2 ⚽
A. Egana1 ⚽
Cards Given
CA LaC. Robles7 🟨
U. Zurita Jimenez5 🟨
Y. Del Aguila5 🟨
F. Illescas4 🟨
E. Torres4 🟨
M. Barragan3 🟨
DoradosR. Franco5 🟨
E. Gutierrez4 🟨
A. Flores4 🟨
B. Ordorica3 🟨
C. Galicia3 🟨
C. Castro3 🟨